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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gamba Osaka v Tokushima Vortis: numbers & prediction

Emperor Cup · Japan · Panasonic Stadium Suita
5–0
FT
Gamba Osaka 63%Draw 25%Tokushima Vortis 13% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.69
63%
Betarazi pick

Gamba Osaka to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultGamba Osaka to win ✓63% · @1.60
Double chanceGamba Osaka or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 23 September the Emperor Cup brings Gamba Osaka against Tokushima Vortis at Panasonic Stadium Suita. Kick-off: 09:00 WAT.

Current form

Gamba Osaka, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vissel Kobe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Tokushima Vortis, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ventforet Kofu, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tokushima Vortis, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Gamba Osaka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gamba Osaka 1.8 xG, Tokushima Vortis 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gamba Osaka 63%, draw 25%, Tokushima Vortis 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gamba Osaka or draw (87%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gamba Osaka to win (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gamba Osaka 1–0 Tokushima Vortis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gamba Osaka63%fair 1.59 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.50
Tokushima Vortis13%fair 7.99 · @4.60
2.50Expected goals
1.81Gamba Osaka xG
0.69Tokushima Vortis xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Gamba Osaka 1.8 – 0.7 Tokushima Vortis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGamba Osaka to win ✓63%1.591.60
Double chanceGamba Osaka or draw ✓87%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.75
Draw no betGamba Osaka (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapGamba Osaka -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreGamba Osaka to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultGamba Osaka ahead at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka ✓40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

Gamba Osaka – last 6

LWLLDD
20 Sepvs Vissel Kobe0–1L
15 Sepvs Công An Nhân Dân4–1W
12 Sepvs FC Tokyo0–2L
6 Sep@ JEF United Chiba0–2L
2 Sep@ V-varen Nagasaki2–2D
29 Augvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tokushima Vortis – last 6

WLWDWW
19 Sep@ Ventforet Kofu1–0W
12 Sep@ Blaublitz Akita1–4L
5 Sepvs Iwaki1–0W
2 Sep@ FC Gifu0–0D
29 Augvs Oita Trinita1–0W
26 Augvs FC Tokushima3–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gamba Osaka and Tokushima Vortis.

Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis?

Our pick is Gamba Osaka to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis?

On our numbers Gamba Osaka have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tokushima Vortis 13%.

How many goals will there be in Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis?

Our predicted score is Gamba Osaka 1–0 Tokushima Vortis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis?

Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Panasonic Stadium Suita.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.