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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kashima v Ventforet Kofu: numbers & prediction

Emperor Cup · Japan · Mercari Stadium

Kashima

DWLLL
3–1
FT

Ventforet Kofu

LLWLW
Kashima 72%Draw 21%Ventforet Kofu 8% Expected goals 2.62 – 0.88
72%
Betarazi pick

Kashima to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.29Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKashima to win ✓72% · @1.29
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95

Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

09:00 WAT, Wednesday 23 September: Kashima v Ventforet Kofu in the Emperor Cup, played at Mercari Stadium.

Current form

Kashima, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Kawasaki Frontale, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Ventforet Kofu, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tokushima Vortis, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 2.6 xG, Ventforet Kofu 0.9 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 72%, draw 21%, Ventforet Kofu 8%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kashima to win (72%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 2–0 Ventforet Kofu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kashima72%fair 1.40 · @1.29
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.40
Ventforet Kofu8%fair 13.20 · @9.50
3.50Expected goals
2.62Kashima xG
0.88Ventforet Kofu xG
55%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%

From our goals model: Kashima 2.6 – 0.9 Ventforet Kofu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashima to win ✓72%1.401.29
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓92%1.081.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.801.95 ▲
Draw no betKashima (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapKashima -1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreKashima to score first ✓72%1.38–
Half-time resultKashima ahead at half-time ✓55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashima / FT Kashima ✓51%1.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.95–

Recent results

Kashima – last 6

DWLLLW
19 Sep@ Kawasaki Frontale3–3D
15 Sepvs Newcastle Jets7–1W
11 Sep@ Vissel Kobe1–2L
6 Sepvs Urawa0–1L
2 Sep@ Mito Hollyhock2–4L
29 Aug@ Tokyo Verdy2–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ventforet Kofu – last 6

LLWLWW
19 Sepvs Tokushima Vortis0–1L
12 Sepvs Jubilo Iwata0–1L
5 Sep@ Montedio Yamagata2–1W
2 Sep@ Osaka0–3L
29 Augvs Consadole Sapporo2–1W
26 Aug@ Consadole Sapporo3–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Ventforet Kofu.

Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu head-to-head page →

More Emperor Cup predictions

League hub
FT Gamba Osaka5 Tokushima Vortis0 163%1.60X25%3.50213%4.60 1.8–0.7xG 1Gamba Osaka to win 63%@1.60 ✓
FT Kashiwa Reysol4 Imabari0 171%1.14X19%6.50210%15.00 2.9–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@2.10 ✗
FT Kyoto Sanga1 Fujieda MYFC0 160%1.62X24%3.75216%4.20 2.9–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.75 ✗
FT Machida Zelvia2 Tochigi City1 167%1.33X21%5.00213%6.00 2.2–0.9xG 1Machida Zelvia to win 67%@1.33 ✓
FT Vissel Kobe1 Sagan Tosu0 163%1.44X22%3.90215%5.80 2.4–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.85 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu?

Our pick is Kashima to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu?

On our numbers Kashima have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ventforet Kofu 8%.

How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu?

Our predicted score is Kashima 2–0 Ventforet Kofu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu?

Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercari Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.