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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vissel Kobe v Sagan Tosu: numbers & prediction

Emperor Cup · Japan · Noevir Stadium

Vissel Kobe

WWWWW
1–0
FT

Sagan Tosu

LLWWD
Vissel Kobe 63%Draw 22%Sagan Tosu 15% Expected goals 2.37 – 1.13
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultVissel Kobe to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44

Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sagan Tosu travel to face Vissel Kobe on Wednesday 23 September in the Emperor Cup, with Noevir Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT.

Current form

Vissel Kobe, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gamba Osaka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sagan Tosu, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Iwaki, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Vissel Kobe, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Sagan Tosu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vissel Kobe 2.4 xG, Sagan Tosu 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vissel Kobe 63%, draw 22%, Sagan Tosu 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vissel Kobe63%fair 1.59 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.90
Sagan Tosu15%fair 6.85 · @5.80
3.50Expected goals
2.37Vissel Kobe xG
1.13Sagan Tosu xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Vissel Kobe 2.4 – 1.1 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVissel Kobe to win ✓63%1.591.44
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw ✓85%1.171.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.85 ▲
Draw no betVissel Kobe (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapVissel Kobe -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreVissel Kobe to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultVissel Kobe ahead at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vissel Kobe / FT Vissel Kobe ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.44–

Recent results

Vissel Kobe – last 6

WWWWWW
20 Sep@ Gamba Osaka1–0W
16 Sep@ Port FC2–1W
11 Sepvs Kashima2–1W
6 Sepvs V-varen Nagasaki3–1W
2 Sep@ Tokyo Verdy2–0W
29 Augvs Cerezo Osaka1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sagan Tosu – last 6

LLWWDW
19 Sepvs Iwaki1–3L
12 Sep@ Imabari0–1L
5 Sepvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0W
2 Sep@ Nara Club2–1W
29 Aug@ Yokohama FC2–2D
26 Augvs Kataller Toyama4–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vissel Kobe and Sagan Tosu.

Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu head-to-head page →

More Emperor Cup predictions

League hub
FT Gamba Osaka5 Tokushima Vortis0 163%1.60X25%3.50213%4.60 1.8–0.7xG 1Gamba Osaka to win 63%@1.60 ✓
FT Kashima3 Ventforet Kofu1 172%1.29X21%4.4028%9.50 2.6–0.9xG 1Kashima to win 72%@1.29 ✓
FT Kashiwa Reysol4 Imabari0 171%1.14X19%6.50210%15.00 2.9–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@2.10 ✗
FT Kyoto Sanga1 Fujieda MYFC0 160%1.62X24%3.75216%4.20 2.9–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.75 ✗
FT Machida Zelvia2 Tochigi City1 167%1.33X21%5.00213%6.00 2.2–0.9xG 1Machida Zelvia to win 67%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?

On our numbers Vissel Kobe have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sagan Tosu 15%.

How many goals will there be in Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?

Our predicted score is Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?

Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Noevir Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.