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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Machida Zelvia v Tochigi City: numbers & prediction

Emperor Cup · Japan · Machida GION Stadium

Machida Zelvia

LWDWW
2–1
FT

Tochigi City

LDWWL
Machida Zelvia 67%Draw 21%Tochigi City 13% Expected goals 2.22 – 0.89
67%
Betarazi pick

Machida Zelvia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓67% · @1.33
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.22

Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Machida Zelvia welcome Tochigi City to Machida GION Stadium for a Emperor Cup fixture on Wednesday 23 September (09:00 WAT).

Current form

Machida Zelvia, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Kashiwa Reysol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Tochigi City, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Vegalta Sendai, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Machida Zelvia 2.2 xG, Tochigi City 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Machida Zelvia 67%, draw 21%, Tochigi City 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Machida Zelvia to win (67%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Machida Zelvia 2–0 Tochigi City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Machida Zelvia67%fair 1.50 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @5.00
Tochigi City13%fair 7.84 · @6.00
3.11Expected goals
2.22Machida Zelvia xG
0.89Tochigi City xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 2.2 – 0.9 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMachida Zelvia to win ✓67%1.501.33
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.75
Draw no betMachida Zelvia (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapMachida Zelvia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
First team to scoreMachida Zelvia to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultMachida Zelvia ahead at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia ✓44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.22–

Recent results

Machida Zelvia – last 6

LWDWWD
20 Sepvs Kashiwa Reysol2–4L
17 Sepvs Svay Rieng2–0W
12 Sepvs Yokohama F. Marinos1–1D
6 Sep@ Nagoya Grampus3–1W
2 Sepvs Kawasaki Frontale2–1W
29 Aug@ Mito Hollyhock1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tochigi City – last 6

LDWWLW
20 Sepvs Vegalta Sendai1–3L
12 Sep@ Kataller Toyama0–0D
6 Sep@ Consadole Sapporo4–1W
2 Sep@ Vanraure Hachinohe2–0W
29 Augvs Jubilo Iwata1–3L
26 Aug@ Vegalta Sendai2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Tochigi City.

Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City head-to-head page →

More Emperor Cup predictions

League hub
FT Gamba Osaka5 Tokushima Vortis0 163%1.60X25%3.50213%4.60 1.8–0.7xG 1Gamba Osaka to win 63%@1.60 ✓
FT Kashima3 Ventforet Kofu1 172%1.29X21%4.4028%9.50 2.6–0.9xG 1Kashima to win 72%@1.29 ✓
FT Kashiwa Reysol4 Imabari0 171%1.14X19%6.50210%15.00 2.9–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@2.10 ✗
FT Kyoto Sanga1 Fujieda MYFC0 160%1.62X24%3.75216%4.20 2.9–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.75 ✗
FT Vissel Kobe1 Sagan Tosu0 163%1.44X22%3.90215%5.80 2.4–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.85 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City?

Our pick is Machida Zelvia to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City?

On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tochigi City 13%.

How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City?

Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 2–0 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City?

Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida GION Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.