Value bet: BodoGlimt to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗75% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 16.04
BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Wednesday 14 October: BodoGlimt v Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League, played at Aspmyra Stadion. In the table, BodoGlimt are 25th, lower half, on 4 points after 4 matches; Borussia Dortmund are 12th (upper half) with 9.
Current form
BodoGlimt, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Kristiansund BK, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Borussia Dortmund, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Werder Bremen, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Borussia Dortmund, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for BodoGlimt.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BodoGlimt 2.2 xG, Borussia Dortmund 2.4 xG – a total near 4.7. That is an open game on paper: 84% for three or more goals, 75% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BodoGlimt 36%, draw 20%, Borussia Dortmund 44%.
GG/NG: GG (75%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: BodoGlimt to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (75%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: BodoGlimt 2–2 Borussia Dortmund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BodoGlimt36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.80
Borussia Dortmund44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
4.67Expected goals
2.22BodoGlimt xG
2.45Borussia Dortmund xG
75%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
1–26%
2–16%
2–36%
3–25%
1–15%
From our goals model: BodoGlimt 2.2 – 2.4 Borussia Dortmund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✗
44%
2.26
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
75%
1.34
1.36
Draw no bet
Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
BodoGlimt +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
First team to score
Borussia Dortmund to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
16.04
–
Recent results
BodoGlimt – last 6
WWLWLW
10 Oct
vs Kristiansund BK
3–1
W
1 Oct
@ Rana
6–2
W
20 Sep
@ Brann
1–2
L
14 Sep
vs Sandefjord
3–2
W
10 Sep
@ Bayern München
0–5
L
4 Sep
@ Fredrikstad
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
DWWWWW
9 Oct
vs Werder Bremen
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs SC Paderborn 07
3–0
W
8 Sep
vs Villarreal
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
1 Sep
@ HEBC
5–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BodoGlimt and Borussia Dortmund.
What is the prediction for BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
On our numbers BodoGlimt have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Borussia Dortmund 44%.
How many goals will there be in BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our predicted score is BodoGlimt 2–2 Borussia Dortmund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
BodoGlimt vs Borussia Dortmund (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Aspmyra Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
