Value bet: AEK Athens FC to win @ 2.60 – our chance 48% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAEK Athens FC to win ✗48% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.92
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shakhtar Donetsk welcome AEK Athens FC to Stamford Bridge for a UEFA Champions League fixture on Wednesday 14 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 21st, lower half, on 4 points after 4 matches; AEK Athens FC are 29th (lower half) with 3. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Veres Rivne, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
AEK Athens FC, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over OFI, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 0.7 xG, AEK Athens FC 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 29%, draw 23%, AEK Athens FC 48%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: AEK Athens FC to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–1 AEK Athens FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shakhtar Donetsk29%fair 3.44 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
AEK Athens FC48%fair 2.07 · @2.60
1.75Expected goals
0.70Shakhtar Donetsk xG
1.05AEK Athens FC xG
51%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–017%
1–113%
1–012%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 0.7 – 1.0 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Athens FC to win✗
48%
2.07
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.67
Draw no bet
AEK Athens FC (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Shakhtar Donetsk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
AEK Athens FC to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.92
–
Recent results
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
WWWWDW
9 Oct
@ Veres Rivne
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs LNZ Cherkasy
3–0
W
17 Sep
@ Vilkhivtsi
3–0
W
14 Sep
vs Chornomorets
2–0
W
10 Sep
@ PSV Eindhoven
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Karpaty
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AEK Athens FC – last 6
WWWDWW
10 Oct
vs OFI
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Volos NFC
2–1
W
17 Sep
vs Panserraikos
8–1
W
13 Sep
@ Asteras Tripolis
1–1
D
8 Sep
vs Lask Linz
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Aris Thessalonikis
5–0
W
3.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens FC.
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AEK Athens FC 48%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?
Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–1 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
