Como v RB Leipzig Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultComo to win ✓63% · @1.78

Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Como vs RB Leipzig: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Como welcome RB Leipzig to Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia for a UEFA Champions League fixture on Thursday 10 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Como are 4th, among the top four, on 9 points after 4 matches; RB Leipzig are 30th (lower half) with 3.

Current form

Como, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Genoa, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

RB Leipzig, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Werder Bremen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Como, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for RB Leipzig.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Como 2.1 xG, RB Leipzig 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Como 63%, draw 17%, RB Leipzig 20%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Como to win @1.78 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Como 2–1 RB Leipzig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Como63%fair 1.59 · @1.78

Draw17%fair 5.74 · @4.10

RB Leipzig20%fair 5.03 · @3.80

3.10Expected goals

2.07Como xG

1.04RB Leipzig xG

64%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

1–110%

2–010%

1–09%

3–17%

3–07%

From our goals model: Como 2.1 – 1.0 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Como to win ✓	63%	1.59	1.78 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	83%	1.21	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.56	1.53
Draw no bet	Como (draw no bet) ✓	76%	1.32	–
Asian handicap	Como -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.67	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	62%	1.61	1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	79%	1.27	1.20
First team to score	Como to score first ✓	64%	1.57	–
Half-time result	Como ahead at half-time ✓	45%	2.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Como / FT Como ✓	39%	2.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.06	–

Como – last 6

WWDDDW

4 Sep	@ Genoa	4–1	W
30 Aug	@ Napoli	2–1	W
22 Aug	@ Udinese	1–1	D
16 Aug	@ Liverpool	0–0	D
12 Aug	@ Arsenal	1–1	D
31 Jul	@ Famalicao	3–2	W

1.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

RB Leipzig – last 6

LWWLLW

5 Sep	@ Werder Bremen	1–3	L
29 Aug	vs Borussia Mönchengladbach	3–0	W
22 Aug	@ Eintracht Trier	6–0	W
15 Aug	@ Bayern München	1–3	L
8 Aug	@ Leeds	0–2	L
1 Aug	vs Verl	4–0	W

2.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Como	4	3	0	1	+13	9
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	+7	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	+3	7
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	+2	6
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	-5	5
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	+2	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	0	4
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	-1	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-5	4
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	-1	3
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-6	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	-6	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-6	3
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	-6	3
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	-7	3
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	-12	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	-4	1
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	-6	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Team

Pts

+15

+13

-1

-5

-1

-1

-1

-5

-1

-5

-6

-6

-6

-6

-7

-12

-4

-6

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Como vs RB Leipzig?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Como vs RB Leipzig?

On our numbers Como have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and RB Leipzig 20%.

How many goals will there be in Como vs RB Leipzig?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Como vs RB Leipzig?

Our predicted score is Como 2–1 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Como vs RB Leipzig?

Como vs RB Leipzig (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Como v RB Leipzig: numbers & prediction