PSV Eindhoven v Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPSV Eindhoven to win ✗70% · @1.46

Double chancePSV Eindhoven or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.41

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61

PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 10 September the UEFA Champions League brings PSV Eindhoven against Shakhtar Donetsk at Philips Stadion. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, PSV Eindhoven are 24th, lower half, on 4 points after 4 matches; Shakhtar Donetsk are 21st (lower half) with 4. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

PSV Eindhoven, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ajax, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Karpaty, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give PSV Eindhoven 2.5 xG, Shakhtar Donetsk 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – PSV Eindhoven 70%, draw 18%, Shakhtar Donetsk 12%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was PSV Eindhoven to win (70%, odds 1.46 – longer than our fair 1.43, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Shakhtar Donetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

PSV Eindhoven70%fair 1.43 · @1.46

Draw18%fair 5.64 · @5.18

Shakhtar Donetsk12%fair 8.08 · @6.31

3.50Expected goals

2.51PSV Eindhoven xG

0.99Shakhtar Donetsk xG

53%Both score

68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

2–19%

3–08%

3–18%

1–08%

1–18%

From our goals model: PSV Eindhoven 2.5 – 1.0 Shakhtar Donetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	PSV Eindhoven to win ✗	70%	1.43	1.46
Double chance	PSV Eindhoven or draw ✓	88%	1.14	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.87	–
Draw no bet	PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet)	85%	1.18	–
Asian handicap	PSV Eindhoven -1 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	54%	1.86	1.79
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	73%	1.38	–
First team to score	PSV Eindhoven to score first ✗	70%	1.44	–
Half-time result	PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time ✗	52%	1.91	–
Half-time / full-time	HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven ✗	47%	2.11	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.61	–

PSV Eindhoven – last 6

WWWWDL

5 Sep	@ Ajax	3–1	W
30 Aug	@ Utrecht	6–1	W
23 Aug	vs Groningen	5–1	W
15 Aug	@ Excelsior	2–1	W
8 Aug	vs Fortuna Sittard	2–2	D
2 Aug	vs AZ Alkmaar	0–4	L

3.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6

WLWWWD

5 Sep	@ Karpaty	2–1	W
29 Aug	vs Polessya	0–2	L
16 Aug	@ FC Kharkiv	1–0	W
9 Aug	@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	2–0	W
3 Aug	vs Kudrivka	5–1	W
26 Jul	@ Bursaspor	0–0	D

1.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Como	4	3	0	1	+13	9
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	+7	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	+3	7
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	+2	6
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	-5	5
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	+2	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	0	4
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	-1	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-5	4
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	-1	3
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-6	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	-6	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-6	3
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	-6	3
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	-7	3
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	-12	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	-4	1
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	-6	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Team

Pts

+15

+13

-1

-5

-1

-1

-1

-5

-1

-5

-6

-6

-6

-6

-7

-12

-4

-6

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our pick is PSV Eindhoven to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

On our numbers PSV Eindhoven have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Shakhtar Donetsk 12%.

How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our predicted score is PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Shakhtar Donetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Philips Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

PSV Eindhoven v Shakhtar Donetsk: numbers & prediction