Slavia Praha v Lens Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.45

Double chanceSlavia Praha or draw ✗76% · @1.48

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 17.26

Slavia Praha vs Lens: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 10 September the UEFA Champions League brings Slavia Praha against Lens at Fortuna Arena. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Slavia Praha are 34th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 4 matches; Lens are 33rd (lower half) with 3. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Slavia Praha, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Zbrojovka Brno, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Lens, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lorient, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Slavia Praha, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Lens.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Slavia Praha 1.4 xG, Lens 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Slavia Praha 25%, draw 51%, Lens 24%.
Lower-risk option: Slavia Praha or draw (76%) at 1.48.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Slavia Praha or draw (76%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Slavia Praha 1–1 Lens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Slavia Praha25%fair 4.05 · @2.56

Draw51%fair 1.95 · @3.45

Lens24%fair 4.15 · @2.56

2.78Expected goals

1.40Slavia Praha xG

1.39Lens xG

60%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–09%

0–19%

2–18%

1–28%

0–06%

From our goals model: Slavia Praha 1.4 – 1.4 Lens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Draw ✗	51%	1.95	3.45 ▲
Double chance	Slavia Praha or draw ✗	76%	1.32	1.48 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.68	1.62
Draw no bet	Slavia Praha (draw no bet) ✗	51%	1.98	–
Asian handicap	Lens +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.90	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	84%	1.19	1.13
First team to score	Slavia Praha to score first	47%	2.12	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Slavia Praha / FT Slavia Praha ✗	22%	4.58	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–2 ✗	6%	17.26	–

Slavia Praha – last 6

WWDDWW

5 Sep	vs Zbrojovka Brno	4–0	W
30 Aug	@ Sparta Praha	3–0	W
22 Aug	vs Bohemians 1905	2–2	D
16 Aug	@ Slovan Liberec	1–1	D
9 Aug	vs Pardubice	2–1	W
1 Aug	@ Baník Ostrava	4–0	W

2.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Lens – last 6

LLWWLW

5 Sep	vs Lorient	0–1	L
29 Aug	@ Strasbourg	1–2	L
22 Aug	vs Auxerre	5–2	W
16 Aug	vs Paris Saint Germain	1–0	W
8 Aug	vs Sunderland	0–2	L
1 Aug	vs Villarreal	3–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Como	4	3	0	1	+13	9
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	+7	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	+3	7
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	+2	6
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	-5	5
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	+2	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	0	4
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	-1	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-5	4
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	-1	3
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-6	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	-6	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-6	3
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	-6	3
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	-7	3
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	-12	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	-4	1
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	-6	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Team

Pts

+15

+13

-1

-5

-1

-1

-1

-5

-1

-5

-6

-6

-6

-6

-7

-12

-4

-6

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Slavia Praha vs Lens?

Our pick is Slavia Praha or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Slavia Praha vs Lens?

On our numbers Slavia Praha have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Lens 24%.

How many goals will there be in Slavia Praha vs Lens?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Slavia Praha vs Lens?

Our predicted score is Slavia Praha 1–1 Lens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Slavia Praha vs Lens?

Slavia Praha vs Lens (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Fortuna Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Slavia Praha v Lens: numbers & prediction