Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Wednesday 4 November: Fenerbahçe v Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League, played at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu. In the table, Fenerbahçe are 19th, lower half, on 5 points after 4 matches; Liverpool are 8th (upper half) with 9.
Current form
Fenerbahçe, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Göztepe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Liverpool, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Arsenal, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Liverpool, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Fenerbahçe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenerbahçe 1.1 xG, Liverpool 2.4 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenerbahçe 14%, draw 22%, Liverpool 64%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenerbahçe 1–2 Liverpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenerbahçe14%fair 7.40 · @5.75
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @5.00
Liverpool64%fair 1.56 · @1.48
3.56Expected goals
1.12Fenerbahçe xG
2.44Liverpool xG
65%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Fenerbahçe 1.1 – 2.4 Liverpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Double chance
Liverpool or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.53
Draw no bet
Liverpool (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Liverpool -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.91
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
First team to score
Liverpool to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Liverpool ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Fenerbahçe – last 6
LLDWLW
31 Oct
vs Göztepe
1–2
L
26 Oct
@ Galatasaray
1–2
L
20 Oct
vs Slavia Praha
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Alanyaspor
3–0
W
14 Oct
@ Aston Villa
0–6
L
10 Oct
@ Rizespor
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Liverpool – last 6
LDWWWW
1 Nov
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
28 Oct
vs Chelsea
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Brighton
2–0
W
20 Oct
vs Villarreal
4–3
W
17 Oct
@ Brentford
2–1
W
14 Oct
@ Lask Linz
6–3
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenerbahçe and Liverpool.
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
On our numbers Fenerbahçe have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Liverpool 64%.
How many goals will there be in Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
Our predicted score is Fenerbahçe 1–2 Liverpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
