RB Leipzig v Manchester City Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultManchester City to win ✓63% · @1.53

Double chanceManchester City or draw ✓85% · @1.14

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

RB Leipzig welcome Manchester City to Red Bull Arena for a UEFA Champions League fixture on Wednesday 4 November (21:00 WAT). In the table, RB Leipzig are 30th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Manchester City are 7th (upper half) with 9.

Current form

RB Leipzig, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Schalke 04, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Manchester City, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Brighton, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours RB Leipzig, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Manchester City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give RB Leipzig 1.3 xG, Manchester City 2.6 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – RB Leipzig 15%, draw 22%, Manchester City 63%.
Lower-risk option: Manchester City or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Leipzig 1–2 Manchester City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

RB Leipzig15%fair 6.55 · @5.25

Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.75

Manchester City63%fair 1.60 · @1.53

3.98Expected goals

1.35RB Leipzig xG

2.63Manchester City xG

65%Both score

74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%

1–38%

1–17%

0–26%

2–26%

0–36%

From our goals model: RB Leipzig 1.3 – 2.6 Manchester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Manchester City to win ✓	63%	1.60	1.53
Double chance	Manchester City or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.14
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	65%	1.53	1.40
Draw no bet	Manchester City (draw no bet) ✓	80%	1.24	–
Asian handicap	Manchester City -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	74%	1.34	1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	64%	1.55	1.44
First team to score	Manchester City to score first ✓	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Manchester City ahead at half-time ✓	50%	2.02	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Manchester City / FT Manchester City ✓	43%	2.31	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.46	–

RB Leipzig – last 6

WWWLLW

31 Oct	@ FC Schalke 04	2–0	W
27 Oct	@ Rot-Weiß Essen	2–1	W
24 Oct	vs SV Elversberg	4–0	W
21 Oct	@ Real Madrid	1–4	L
17 Oct	@ Bayern München	1–6	L
13 Oct	vs PSV Eindhoven	1–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Manchester City – last 6

LDLWWL

31 Oct	vs Brighton	0–1	L
28 Oct	vs Brighton	2–2	D
24 Oct	@ Aston Villa	1–2	L
20 Oct	vs AEK Athens FC	5–1	W
17 Oct	vs Ipswich	3–2	W
14 Oct	vs Paris Saint Germain	2–4	L

2.2Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Como	4	3	0	1	+13	9
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	+7	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	+3	7
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	+2	6
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	-5	5
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	+2	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	0	4
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	-1	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-5	4
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	-1	3
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-6	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	-6	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-6	3
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	-6	3
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	-7	3
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	-12	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	-4	1
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	-6	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Team

Pts

+15

+13

-1

-5

-1

-1

-1

-5

-1

-5

-6

-6

-6

-6

-7

-12

-4

-6

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

On our numbers RB Leipzig have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Manchester City 63%.

How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

Our predicted score is RB Leipzig 1–2 Manchester City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

RB Leipzig v Manchester City: numbers & prediction