Lens v Como Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultComo to win ✓61% · @1.91

Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Lens vs Como: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lens welcome Como to Stade Bollaert-Delelis for a UEFA Champions League fixture on Wednesday 4 November (21:00 WAT). In the table, Lens are 33rd, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Como are 4th (among the top four) with 9.

Current form

Lens, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lille, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Como, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Venezia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Como, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Lens.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lens 1.4 xG, Como 2.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Lens 24%, draw 15%, Como 61%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Como to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lens 1–2 Como. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lens24%fair 4.18 · @3.60

Draw15%fair 6.53 · @3.90

Como61%fair 1.65 · @1.91

3.64Expected goals

1.35Lens xG

2.29Como xG

68%Both score

65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%

1–18%

1–37%

0–27%

2–26%

0–16%

From our goals model: Lens 1.4 – 2.3 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Como to win ✓	61%	1.65	1.91 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	85%	1.18	1.25 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	68%	1.47	1.50
Draw no bet	Como (draw no bet) ✓	72%	1.39	–
Asian handicap	Lens +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	84%	1.18	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	55%	1.83	1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	74%	1.35	1.22
First team to score	Como to score first ✓	61%	1.63	–
Half-time result	Como ahead at half-time ✓	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Como / FT Como ✓	38%	2.64	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.77	–

Lens – last 6

LWLWLW

30 Oct	@ Lille	0–1	L
24 Oct	vs Paris FC	2–1	W
21 Oct	@ Club Brugge KV	0–3	L
17 Oct	@ Estac Troyes	3–1	W
13 Oct	vs Sporting CP	0–2	L
9 Oct	vs Lyon	2–1	W

1.2Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Como – last 6

WWWWWL

1 Nov	vs Venezia	1–0	W
27 Oct	@ Torino	3–1	W
24 Oct	vs Sassuolo	2–0	W
21 Oct	vs Manchester United	4–1	W
18 Oct	@ Fiorentina	3–1	W
14 Oct	@ Feyenoord	2–3	L

2.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Como	4	3	0	1	+13	9
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	+7	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	+3	7
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	+2	6
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	-5	5
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	+2	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	0	4
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	-1	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-5	4
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	-1	3
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-6	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	-6	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-6	3
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	-6	3
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	-7	3
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	-12	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	-4	1
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	-6	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Team

Pts

+15

+13

-1

-5

-1

-1

-1

-5

-1

-5

-6

-6

-6

-6

-7

-12

-4

-6

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lens vs Como?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Lens vs Como?

On our numbers Lens have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Como 61%.

How many goals will there be in Lens vs Como?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lens vs Como?

Our predicted score is Lens 1–2 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Lens vs Como?

Lens vs Como (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Lens v Como: numbers & prediction