Lens vs Sporting CP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:45 WAT, Tuesday 13 October: Lens v Sporting CP in the UEFA Champions League, played at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. In the table, Lens are 33rd, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Sporting CP are 10th (upper half) with 9.
Current form
Lens, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lyon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Sporting CP, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over SC Braga, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Sporting CP, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Lens.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lens 2.2 xG, Sporting CP 2.3 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lens 37%, draw 21%, Sporting CP 41%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lens 2–2 Sporting CP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lens37%fair 2.67 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
Sporting CP41%fair 2.42 · @2.50
4.50Expected goals
2.20Lens xG
2.30Sporting CP xG
70%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
1–26%
2–16%
1–16%
2–35%
3–25%
From our goals model: Lens 2.2 – 2.3 Sporting CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✓
41%
2.42
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.42
1.53 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting CP (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Lens +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
First team to score
Sporting CP to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✓
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
15.45
–
Recent results
Lens – last 6
WLDWLL
9 Oct
vs Lyon
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Monaco
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Le Mans
2–2
D
10 Sep
@ Slavia Praha
3–2
W
5 Sep
vs Lorient
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Strasbourg
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sporting CP – last 6
WDDWWW
9 Oct
@ SC Braga
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Arouca
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Famalicao
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Galatasaray
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Nacional
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Rio Ave
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Sporting CP.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Lens vs Sporting CP?
On our numbers Lens have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting CP 41%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Sporting CP?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Sporting CP?
Our predicted score is Lens 2–2 Sporting CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Sporting CP?
Lens vs Sporting CP (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
