Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultRB Leipzig to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PSV Eindhoven travel to face RB Leipzig on Tuesday 13 October in the UEFA Champions League, with Leipzig Red Bull Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, RB Leipzig are 30th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; PSV Eindhoven are 24th (lower half) with 4. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
RB Leipzig, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
PSV Eindhoven, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Heerenveen, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours PSV Eindhoven, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for RB Leipzig.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RB Leipzig 2.3 xG, PSV Eindhoven 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RB Leipzig 65%, draw 15%, PSV Eindhoven 21%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was RB Leipzig to win (65%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Leipzig 2–1 PSV Eindhoven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RB Leipzig65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw15%fair 6.82 · @4.33
PSV Eindhoven21%fair 4.86 · @3.75
3.50Expected goals
2.31RB Leipzig xG
1.19PSV Eindhoven xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: RB Leipzig 2.3 – 1.2 PSV Eindhoven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Leipzig to win✓
65%
1.54
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.36
Draw no bet
RB Leipzig (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
RB Leipzig -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
RB Leipzig to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
RB Leipzig ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Leipzig / FT RB Leipzig✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
RB Leipzig – last 6
WLWLLW
10 Oct
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
6–0
W
20 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Hamburger SV
5–0
W
10 Sep
@ Como
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Werder Bremen
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PSV Eindhoven – last 6
WLWDWW
9 Oct
vs Heerenveen
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Twente
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Sparta Rotterdam
4–1
W
10 Sep
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Ajax
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Utrecht
6–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RB Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven.
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our pick is RB Leipzig to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
On our numbers RB Leipzig have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 15% and PSV Eindhoven 21%.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our predicted score is RB Leipzig 2–1 PSV Eindhoven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Leipzig Red Bull Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
