Napoli v BodoGlimt Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNapoli to win ✓62% · @1.62

Double chanceNapoli or draw ✓82% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.55

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65

Napoli vs BodoGlimt: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Tuesday 20 October: Napoli v BodoGlimt in the UEFA Champions League, played at Maradona Stadium. In the table, Napoli are 27th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; BodoGlimt are 25th (lower half) with 4. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Napoli, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Venezia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

BodoGlimt, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ham-Kam, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours BodoGlimt, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Napoli.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Napoli 2.4 xG, BodoGlimt 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Napoli 62%, draw 20%, BodoGlimt 18%.
Lower-risk option: Napoli or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napoli 2–1 BodoGlimt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Napoli62%fair 1.61 · @1.62

Draw20%fair 5.03 · @4.20

BodoGlimt18%fair 5.58 · @4.60

3.63Expected goals

2.39Napoli xG

1.24BodoGlimt xG

65%Both score

70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%

1–18%

2–08%

3–17%

1–06%

3–06%

From our goals model: Napoli 2.4 – 1.2 BodoGlimt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Napoli to win ✓	62%	1.61	1.62
Double chance	Napoli or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	65%	1.54	1.55
Draw no bet	Napoli (draw no bet) ✓	78%	1.29	–
Asian handicap	Napoli -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	51%	1.97	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	–
First team to score	Napoli to score first	64%	1.56	–
Half-time result	Napoli ahead at half-time ✓	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Napoli / FT Napoli ✓	41%	2.43	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.65	–

Napoli – last 6

LLWDWL

17 Oct	@ Venezia	0–1	L
13 Oct	@ Villarreal	1–3	L
10 Oct	vs Frosinone	3–0	W
20 Sep	@ Fiorentina	1–1	D
13 Sep	vs Bologna	1–0	W
9 Sep	vs Arsenal	0–1	L

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

BodoGlimt – last 6

WWWWLW

17 Oct	@ Ham-Kam	2–0	W
14 Oct	vs Borussia Dortmund	1–0	W
10 Oct	vs Kristiansund BK	3–1	W
1 Oct	@ Rana	6–2	W
20 Sep	@ Brann	1–2	L
14 Sep	vs Sandefjord	3–2	W

2.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Como	4	3	0	1	+13	9
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	+7	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	+3	7
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	+2	6
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	-5	5
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	+2	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	0	4
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	-1	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-5	4
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	-1	3
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-6	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	-6	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-6	3
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	-6	3
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	-7	3
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	-12	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	-4	1
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	-6	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Team

Pts

+15

+13

-1

-5

-1

-1

-1

-5

-1

-5

-6

-6

-6

-6

-7

-12

-4

-6

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Napoli vs BodoGlimt?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Napoli vs BodoGlimt?

On our numbers Napoli have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and BodoGlimt 18%.

How many goals will there be in Napoli vs BodoGlimt?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs BodoGlimt?

Our predicted score is Napoli 2–1 BodoGlimt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Napoli vs BodoGlimt?

Napoli vs BodoGlimt (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Maradona Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Napoli v BodoGlimt: numbers & prediction