Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Lyon to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLyon to win ✓48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.69
Anderlecht vs Lyon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: Anderlecht v Lyon in the UEFA Europa League, played at Lotto Park. In the table, Anderlecht are 15th, upper half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Lyon are 13th (upper half) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Anderlecht, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over KV Mechelen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Lyon, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Paris FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Anderlecht, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Lyon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Anderlecht 1.3 xG, Lyon 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Anderlecht 30%, draw 22%, Lyon 48%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Lyon to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Anderlecht 1–1 Lyon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Anderlecht30%fair 3.29 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Lyon48%fair 2.09 · @2.30
3.00Expected goals
1.30Anderlecht xG
1.70Lyon xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Anderlecht 1.3 – 1.7 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✓
48%
2.09
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.57
Draw no bet
Lyon (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Anderlecht +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Lyon to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✓
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Anderlecht – last 6
WDWLWW
11 Sep
@ KV Mechelen
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Genk
0–0
D
3 Sep
vs Kortrijk
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Union St. Gilloise
0–3
L
27 Aug
vs Kairat Almaty
3–0
W
20 Aug
@ Kairat Almaty
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
DWDLWD
12 Sep
@ Paris FC
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs Auxerre
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Le Havre
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Toulouse
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Fenerbahçe
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anderlecht and Lyon.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Anderlecht vs Lyon?
On our numbers Anderlecht have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lyon 48%.
How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs Lyon?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Anderlecht 1–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Anderlecht vs Lyon?
Anderlecht vs Lyon (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Lotto Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
