Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 53% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +68%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗53% · @3.20
Double chanceCelta Vigo or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Celta Vigo travel to face Omonia Nicosia on Wednesday 16 September in the UEFA Europa League, with GSP Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Omonia Nicosia are 18th, upper half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Celta Vigo are 27th (lower half) with 3. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Omonia Nicosia, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Apollon Limassol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Celta Vigo, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Malaga, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Omonia Nicosia, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Celta Vigo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Omonia Nicosia 1.1 xG, Celta Vigo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Omonia Nicosia 17%, draw 53%, Celta Vigo 31%.
Lower-risk option: Celta Vigo or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celta Vigo or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Omonia Nicosia 1–1 Celta Vigo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Omonia Nicosia17%fair 5.98 · @3.70
Draw53%fair 1.90 · @3.20
Celta Vigo31%fair 3.26 · @2.00
2.50Expected goals
1.10Omonia Nicosia xG
1.40Celta Vigo xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Omonia Nicosia 1.1 – 1.4 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
53%
1.90
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Celta Vigo or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Celta Vigo (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Omonia Nicosia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Celta Vigo to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.91
–
Recent results
Omonia Nicosia – last 6
DWLDWL
12 Sep
vs Apollon Limassol
0–0
D
7 Sep
@ Aris
4–1
W
3 Sep
vs Pafos
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Omonia Aradippou
0–0
D
27 Aug
vs St. Truiden
4–2
W
20 Aug
@ St. Truiden
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Celta Vigo – last 6
DDDLLD
13 Sep
vs Malaga
1–1
D
7 Sep
@ Getafe
1–1
D
3 Sep
@ Real Sociedad
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Athletic Club
0–2
L
27 Aug
vs Osasuna
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Valencia
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo.
What is the prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
Our pick is Celta Vigo or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Omonia Nicosia have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Celta Vigo 31%.
How many goals will there be in Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
Our predicted score is Omonia Nicosia 1–1 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
