Ararat-Armenia v Sparta Praha Prediction & Expected Goals (16 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSparta Praha to win ✓66% · @1.62

Double chanceSparta Praha or draw ✓85% · @1.18

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @2.15

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗27% · fair 3.71

Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sparta Praha travel to face Ararat-Armenia on Wednesday 16 September in the UEFA Europa League, with Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Ararat-Armenia are 36th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 4 matches; Sparta Praha are 22nd (lower half) with 4.

Current form

Ararat-Armenia, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Syunik, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sparta Praha, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FK Jablonec, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ararat-Armenia 0.3 xG, Sparta Praha 1.2 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ararat-Armenia 15%, draw 19%, Sparta Praha 66%.
Lower-risk option: Sparta Praha or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sparta Praha to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ararat-Armenia 0–1 Sparta Praha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ararat-Armenia15%fair 6.80 · @4.80

Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.90

Sparta Praha66%fair 1.52 · @1.62

1.50Expected goals

0.29Ararat-Armenia xG

1.21Sparta Praha xG

46%Both score

19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–127%

0–022%

0–216%

1–18%

1–07%

0–37%

From our goals model: Ararat-Armenia 0.3 – 1.2 Sparta Praha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sparta Praha to win ✓	66%	1.52	1.62 ▲
Double chance	Sparta Praha or draw ✓	85%	1.17	1.18
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	54%	1.85	2.15 ▲
Draw no bet	Sparta Praha (draw no bet) ✓	82%	1.22	–
Asian handicap	Sparta Praha -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Under 1.5 goals ✗	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	93%	1.07	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	98%	1.02	–
First team to score	Sparta Praha to score first ✓	62%	1.60	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	55%	1.81	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha ✓	35%	2.86	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	27%	3.71	–

Ararat-Armenia – last 6

WWLWDD

11 Sep	vs Syunik	3–0	W
5 Sep	@ Ararat	1–0	W
31 Aug	@ Pyunik Yerevan	1–2	L
27 Aug	vs Universitatea Craiova	1–0	W
23 Aug	vs Sardarapat	1–1	D
20 Aug	@ Universitatea Craiova	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Sparta Praha – last 6

WWLLWW

12 Sep	vs FK Jablonec	2–0	W
9 Sep	@ Viktoria Žižkov	5–0	W
6 Sep	@ Hradec Králové	1–2	L
30 Aug	vs Slavia Praha	0–3	L
22 Aug	@ Artis	4–0	W
15 Aug	vs Teplice	4–1	W

2.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Bournemouth	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	3	0	1	+7	9
8	Beşiktaş	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Levski Sofia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	0	7
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Lyon	4	2	1	1	-1	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	+3	6
15	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	+3	6
16	OFI	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Rennes	4	1	3	0	+1	6
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Torreense	4	2	0	2	-2	6
20	Real Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+5	5
21	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	+3	5
22	Sparta Praha	4	1	1	2	0	4
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	0	4
24	Sturm Graz	4	1	1	2	-3	4
25	Celje	4	1	1	2	-4	4
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	1	1	2	-5	4
27	Celta Vigo	4	1	0	3	-2	3
28	AC Milan	4	1	0	3	-3	3
29	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	-3	3
30	Plzen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
31	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-4	3
32	Celtic	4	1	0	3	-5	3
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	0	1	3	-7	1
34	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	-8	1
35	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	-10	1
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Team

Pts

+10

-1

-1

-1

-2

-3

-4

-5

-2

-3

-3

-4

-4

-5

-7

-8

-10

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?

Our pick is Sparta Praha to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?

On our numbers Ararat-Armenia have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sparta Praha 66%.

How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?

Our predicted score is Ararat-Armenia 0–1 Sparta Praha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?

Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ararat-Armenia v Sparta Praha: numbers & prediction