Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultAarhus to win ✗63% · @1.55
Double chanceAarhus or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.74
Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Egnatia Rrogozhinë travel to face Aarhus on Thursday 22 October in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Vejlby Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Aarhus are 24th, lower half, on 2 points after 3 matches; Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 26th (lower half) with 2. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aarhus, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Copenhagen, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Vllaznia Shkodër, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aarhus 1.2 xG, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.3 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aarhus 63%, draw 24%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 13%.
Lower-risk option: Aarhus or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aarhus to win (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aarhus 1–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aarhus63%fair 1.59 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @4.00
Egnatia Rrogozhinë13%fair 7.83 · @5.80
1.50Expected goals
1.20Aarhus xG
0.30Egnatia Rrogozhinë xG
49%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–027%
0–022%
2–016%
1–18%
0–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Aarhus 1.2 – 0.3 Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aarhus to win✗
63%
1.59
1.55
Double chance
Aarhus or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.00
Draw no bet
Aarhus (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Aarhus to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aarhus / FT Aarhus✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
27%
3.74
–
Recent results
Aarhus – last 6
DLWWDW
18 Oct
@ FC Copenhagen
1–1
D
15 Oct
@ Gent
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Sonderjyske
3–0
W
2 Oct
vs Vendsyssel FF
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ AC Horsens
2–2
D
16 Sep
@ Skjold Sæby
6–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë – last 6
WDWWLW
18 Oct
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
3–1
W
15 Oct
vs FC Midtjylland
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Laci
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Partizani
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ AF Elbasani
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Skenderbeu Korce
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
What is the prediction for Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our pick is Aarhus to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
On our numbers Aarhus have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 13%.
How many goals will there be in Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our predicted score is Aarhus 1–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Vejlby Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
