Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPanathinaikos to win ✓66% · @1.67

Double chancePanathinaikos or draw ✓88% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kairat Almaty welcome Panathinaikos to Central Stadium for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 22 October (15:30 WAT). In the table, Kairat Almaty are 27th, lower half, on 2 points after 3 matches; Panathinaikos are 2nd (among the top four) with 9.

Current form

Kairat Almaty, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Irtysh, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Panathinaikos, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Asteras Tripolis, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Panathinaikos, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Kairat Almaty.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kairat Almaty 0.8 xG, Panathinaikos 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Kairat Almaty 12%, draw 22%, Panathinaikos 66%.
Lower-risk option: Panathinaikos or draw (88%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Panathinaikos to win (66%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kairat Almaty 0–2 Panathinaikos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kairat Almaty12%fair 8.33 · @4.80

Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.70

Panathinaikos66%fair 1.52 · @1.67

3.00Expected goals

0.85Kairat Almaty xG

2.15Panathinaikos xG

59%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%

0–111%

1–210%

1–19%

0–38%

1–37%

From our goals model: Kairat Almaty 0.8 – 2.2 Panathinaikos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Panathinaikos to win ✓	66%	1.52	1.67 ▲
Double chance	Panathinaikos or draw ✓	88%	1.14	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.69	1.80 ▲
Draw no bet	Panathinaikos (draw no bet) ✓	85%	1.18	–
Asian handicap	Panathinaikos -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	82%	1.23	–
First team to score	Panathinaikos to score first ✓	68%	1.47	–
Half-time result	Panathinaikos ahead at half-time ✓	49%	2.05	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos ✓	44%	2.28	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.23	–

Kairat Almaty – last 6

WDWLLW

18 Oct	vs Irtysh	5–0	W
15 Oct	@ Riga	1–1	D
10 Oct	vs Zhetysu	1–0	W
17 Sep	@ FC Astana	0–1	L
13 Sep	vs FK Tobol Kostanay	1–4	L
9 Sep	vs Zhenys	3–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Panathinaikos – last 6

WWLWWW

18 Oct	vs Asteras Tripolis	5–1	W
15 Oct	vs Borac Banja Luka	2–1	W
11 Oct	@ Olympiakos Piraeus	0–1	L
20 Sep	@ Kalamata	1–0	W
16 Sep	@ Kifisia	2–0	W
13 Sep	vs Panetolikos	3–0	W

2.2Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Our pick is Panathinaikos to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

On our numbers Kairat Almaty have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Panathinaikos 66%.

How many goals will there be in Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Our predicted score is Kairat Almaty 0–2 Panathinaikos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos?

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos: numbers & prediction