Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultGetafe to win ✗56% · @1.85
Double chanceGetafe or draw ✗82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Getafe vs FC Lugano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Getafe welcome FC Lugano to Coliseum Alfonso Pérez for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 22 October (17:45 WAT). In the table, Getafe are 31st, lower half, on 1 points after 3 matches; FC Lugano are 1st (leading the league) with 9.
Current form
Getafe, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rayo Vallecano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
FC Lugano, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Pully Football, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Lugano, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Getafe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Getafe 2.1 xG, FC Lugano 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Getafe 56%, draw 26%, FC Lugano 18%.
Lower-risk option: Getafe or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Getafe or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Getafe 2–1 FC Lugano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Getafe56%fair 1.78 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.30
FC Lugano18%fair 5.68 · @4.20
3.20Expected goals
2.06Getafe xG
1.14FC Lugano xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Getafe 2.1 – 1.1 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Getafe to win✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Double chance
Getafe or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Getafe (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
FC Lugano +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Getafe to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Getafe ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Getafe / FT Getafe✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Getafe – last 6
DDLWLD
19 Oct
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
15 Oct
@ Universitatea Craiova
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Barcelona
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Malaga
1–0
W
17 Sep
@ Real Betis
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
FC Lugano – last 6
WWWLWW
18 Oct
@ Pully Football
4–0
W
15 Oct
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
3–2
W
10 Oct
vs FC Luzern
4–0
W
2 Oct
vs Hellas Verona
1–3
L
20 Sep
@ Lausanne
4–0
W
16 Sep
vs FC ST. Gallen
4–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Getafe and FC Lugano.
Our pick is Getafe or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Getafe vs FC Lugano?
On our numbers Getafe have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Lugano 18%.
How many goals will there be in Getafe vs FC Lugano?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Getafe vs FC Lugano?
Our predicted score is Getafe 2–1 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Getafe vs FC Lugano?
Getafe vs FC Lugano (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
