Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: SC Braga to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSC Braga to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceSC Braga or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.03
SC Braga vs Gent: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 22 October: SC Braga v Gent in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Estádio Municipal de Braga. In the table, SC Braga are 17th, upper half, on 4 points after 3 matches; Gent are 18th (upper half) with 4. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
SC Braga, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to GIL Vicente, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Gent, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Rochefort, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gent, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for SC Braga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Braga 1.1 xG, Gent 0.4 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Braga 60%, draw 21%, Gent 19%.
Lower-risk option: SC Braga or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (60%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: SC Braga to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SC Braga or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Braga 1–0 Gent. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Braga60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.30
Gent19%fair 5.24 · @4.00
1.50Expected goals
1.11SC Braga xG
0.39Gent xG
40%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–025%
0–022%
2–014%
1–110%
0–19%
2–15%
From our goals model: SC Braga 1.1 – 0.4 Gent expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win✓
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
SC Braga or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
SC Braga (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Gent +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
SC Braga to score first✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga✓
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
25%
4.03
–
Recent results
SC Braga – last 6
LLLDWL
19 Oct
vs GIL Vicente
1–2
L
15 Oct
@ FC Copenhagen
0–3
L
9 Oct
vs Sporting CP
1–3
L
20 Sep
@ Santa Clara
0–0
D
14 Sep
vs Estoril
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Estrela
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gent – last 6
DWWWDW
18 Oct
@ Rochefort
3–3
D
15 Oct
vs Aarhus
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Zulte Waregem
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs Standard Liege
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Genk
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Cercle Brugge
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Braga and Gent.
Our pick is SC Braga or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SC Braga vs Gent?
On our numbers SC Braga have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gent 19%.
How many goals will there be in SC Braga vs Gent?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Braga vs Gent?
Our predicted score is SC Braga 1–0 Gent, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is SC Braga vs Gent?
SC Braga vs Gent (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Braga.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
