FC Midtjylland 64%Draw 19%St. Truiden 17%Expected goals 2.06 – 0.94
64%
Betarazi pick
FC Midtjylland to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Midtjylland to win ✗64% · @1.65
Double chanceFC Midtjylland or draw ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
St. Truiden travel to face FC Midtjylland on Thursday 22 October in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with MCH Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, FC Midtjylland are 34th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 3 matches; St. Truiden are 10th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
FC Midtjylland, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Viborg, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
St. Truiden, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Lommel United, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours FC Midtjylland, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for St. Truiden.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Midtjylland 2.1 xG, St. Truiden 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Midtjylland 64%, draw 19%, St. Truiden 17%.
Lower-risk option: FC Midtjylland or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Midtjylland to win (64%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Midtjylland 2–0 St. Truiden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Midtjylland64%fair 1.56 · @1.65
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.90
St. Truiden17%fair 5.86 · @4.75
3.00Expected goals
2.06FC Midtjylland xG
0.94St. Truiden xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Midtjylland 2.1 – 0.9 St. Truiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Midtjylland to win✗
64%
1.56
1.65 ▲
Double chance
FC Midtjylland or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.60
Draw no bet
FC Midtjylland (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
FC Midtjylland -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
FC Midtjylland to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
FC Midtjylland ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Midtjylland / FT FC Midtjylland✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
FC Midtjylland – last 6
WDWDWW
19 Oct
@ Viborg
2–1
W
15 Oct
@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs FC Copenhagen
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Odense
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs Brondby
4–1
W
10 Sep
@ Sundby
7–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
St. Truiden – last 6
WWLLLW
18 Oct
vs Lommel United
4–1
W
15 Oct
vs FC Iberia 1999
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ KV Mechelen
3–4
L
20 Sep
vs KVC Westerlo
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ SK Beveren
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs RAAL La Louvière
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Midtjylland and St. Truiden.
What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
Our pick is FC Midtjylland to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
On our numbers FC Midtjylland have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and St. Truiden 17%.
How many goals will there be in FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
Our predicted score is FC Midtjylland 2–0 St. Truiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at MCH Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
