Badalona II 20%Draw 51%Sestao River 29%Expected goals 1.18 – 1.39
80%
Betarazi pick
Sestao River or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 51% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +73%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓51% · @3.40
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗8% · fair 13.05
Badalona II vs Sestao River: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sestao River travel to face Badalona II on Wednesday 9 September in the Copa Federacion – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Badalona II, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Espanyol II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Sestao River, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Racing Santander II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sestao River, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Badalona II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Badalona II 1.2 xG, Sestao River 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Badalona II 20%, draw 51%, Sestao River 29%.
Lower-risk option: Sestao River or draw (80%) at 1.28.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sestao River or draw (80%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Badalona II 1–1 Sestao River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Badalona II20%fair 5.10 · @3.10
Draw51%fair 1.96 · @3.40
Sestao River29%fair 3.39 · @2.00
2.57Expected goals
1.18Badalona II xG
1.39Sestao River xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Badalona II 1.2 – 1.4 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
51%
1.96
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Sestao River or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Sestao River (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Badalona II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Sestao River to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
8%
13.05
–
Recent results
Badalona II – last 4
LDWL
15 Aug
vs Espanyol II
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ L'Hospitalet
2–2
D
21 Jun
vs Compostela
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Compostela
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sestao River – last 6
WWDLWD
6 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Derio
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–2
L
3 May
vs Utebo
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Amorebieta
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Badalona II and Sestao River.
What is the prediction for Badalona II vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Sestao River or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Badalona II vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Badalona II have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Sestao River 29%.
How many goals will there be in Badalona II vs Sestao River?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Badalona II vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Badalona II 1–1 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Badalona II vs Sestao River?
Badalona II vs Sestao River (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Compostela1
Derio1
Torrent1
Saguntino2
Motril0
Recreativo Huelva2
CF Talavera0
Navalcarnero0