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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Motril v Recreativo Huelva: numbers & prediction

Copa Federacion · Spain

Motril

DDLDD
0–2
FT

Recreativo Huelva

LWWLW
Motril 24%Draw 51%Recreativo Huelva 25% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.38
76%
Betarazi pick

Recreativo Huelva or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.44Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 51% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +73%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.40
Double chanceRecreativo Huelva or draw ✓76% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 17.69

Motril vs Recreativo Huelva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Recreativo Huelva travel to face Motril on Wednesday 9 September in the Copa Federacion – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.

Current form

Motril, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Huétor Vega, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Recreativo Huelva, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atlético Central, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Recreativo Huelva, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Motril.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Motril 1.4 xG, Recreativo Huelva 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Motril 24%, draw 51%, Recreativo Huelva 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Recreativo Huelva or draw (76%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Recreativo Huelva or draw (76%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motril 1–1 Recreativo Huelva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Motril24%fair 4.18 · @2.50
Draw51%fair 1.96 · @3.40
Recreativo Huelva25%fair 3.98 · @2.40
2.73Expected goals
1.35Motril xG
1.38Recreativo Huelva xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Motril 1.4 – 1.4 Recreativo Huelva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗51%1.963.40 ▲
Double chanceRecreativo Huelva or draw ✓76%1.311.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.93–
Draw no betRecreativo Huelva (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapMotril +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreRecreativo Huelva to score first ✓47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Recreativo Huelva / FT Recreativo Huelva ✓22%4.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6%17.69–

Recent results

Motril – last 6

DDLDDW
5 Sep@ Huétor Vega0–0D
7 Junvs Arenas Armilla1–1D
31 May@ Arenas Armilla0–1L
24 Mayvs Churriana Vega0–0D
17 May@ Churriana Vega1–1D
10 Mayvs Atlético Porcuna2–1W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Recreativo Huelva – last 6

LWWLWW
6 Sep@ Atlético Central0–2L
6 Sepvs Bollullos2–0W
28 Julvs Dos Hermanas3–1W
22 Julvs Real Betis0–1L
10 Mayvs Chiclana2–1W
3 Mayvs Xerez Deportivo3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Motril and Recreativo Huelva.

Motril vs Recreativo Huelva head-to-head page →

More Copa Federacion predictions

League hub
FT Compostela1 Derio1 Pens 1–3 161%1.55X20%3.60220%5.50 1.9–0.9xG 1Compostela to win 61%@1.55 ✗
FT Badalona II1 Sestao River1 Pens 1–3 120%3.10X51%3.40229%2.00 1.2–1.4xG X2Sestao River or draw 80%@1.28 ✓
FT Torrent1 Saguntino2 146%2.10X22%3.30232%3.00 1.5–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 53%@1.80 ✓
FT CF Talavera0 Navalcarnero0 AET 0–2 142%2.30X23%3.20236%2.75 1.4–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 51%@1.85 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Motril vs Recreativo Huelva?

Our pick is Recreativo Huelva or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Motril vs Recreativo Huelva?

On our numbers Motril have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Recreativo Huelva 25%.

How many goals will there be in Motril vs Recreativo Huelva?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Motril vs Recreativo Huelva?

Our predicted score is Motril 1–1 Recreativo Huelva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Motril vs Recreativo Huelva?

Motril vs Recreativo Huelva (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.