Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CF Talavera welcome Navalcarnero to Estadio El Prado for a Copa Federacion fixture on Wednesday 9 September (20:00 WAT).
Current form
CF Talavera, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to RSD Alcalá, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Navalcarnero, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Valladolid II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Navalcarnero, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for CF Talavera.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CF Talavera 1.4 xG, Navalcarnero 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CF Talavera 42%, draw 23%, Navalcarnero 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Talavera 2–1 Navalcarnero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CF Talavera42%fair 2.39 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Navalcarnero36%fair 2.81 · @2.75
2.73Expected goals
1.43CF Talavera xG
1.30Navalcarnero xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: CF Talavera 1.4 – 1.3 Navalcarnero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Talavera to win✗
42%
2.39
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
CF Talavera (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Navalcarnero +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
CF Talavera to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Talavera / FT CF Talavera✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
CF Talavera – last 6
LLDLDL
6 Sep
@ RSD Alcalá
0–3
L
19 Aug
vs Getafe II
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Illescas
1–1
D
10 May
@ Osasuna II
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Guadalajara
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Navalcarnero – last 6
LWDWLL
6 Sep
@ Real Valladolid II
0–1
L
3 May
vs Fuenlabrada
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ Colonia Moscardó
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Conquense
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
2–3
L
29 Mar
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Talavera and Navalcarnero.
What is the prediction for CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero?
On our numbers CF Talavera have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Navalcarnero 36%.
How many goals will there be in CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero?
Our predicted score is CF Talavera 2–1 Navalcarnero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero?
CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Prado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.