Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultCompostela to win ✗61% · @1.55
Double chanceCompostela or draw ✓80% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.98
Compostela vs Derio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Compostela welcome Derio for a Copa Federacion fixture on Wednesday 9 September (18:00 WAT).
Current form
Compostela, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Marino de Luanco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Derio, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Real Sociedad III, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Compostela 1.9 xG, Derio 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Compostela 61%, draw 20%, Derio 20%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Compostela to win (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Compostela 1–0 Derio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Compostela61%fair 1.64 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.60
Derio20%fair 5.13 · @5.50
2.78Expected goals
1.86Compostela xG
0.92Derio xG
47%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Compostela 1.9 – 0.9 Derio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Compostela to win✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Double chance
Compostela or draw✓
80%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Compostela (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Derio +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Compostela to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Compostela ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Compostela / FT Compostela✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
14.98
–
Recent results
Compostela – last 6
LLLWWL
6 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Deportivo La Coruna
0–4
L
21 Jun
@ Badalona II
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Badalona II
3–0
W
7 Jun
vs Atlético Arteixo
2–1
W
31 May
@ Atlético Arteixo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Derio – last 6
DLLLLW
5 Sep
vs Real Sociedad III
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Sestao River
0–1
L
15 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–3
L
6 Jun
@ Leioa
0–1
L
31 May
vs Leioa
0–1
L
24 May
vs Lagun Onak
2–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Compostela and Derio.
Our pick is Compostela to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Compostela vs Derio?
On our numbers Compostela have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Derio 20%.
How many goals will there be in Compostela vs Derio?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Compostela vs Derio?
Our predicted score is Compostela 1–0 Derio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Compostela vs Derio?
Compostela vs Derio (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Badalona II1
Sestao River1
Torrent1
Saguntino2
Motril0
Recreativo Huelva2
CF Talavera0
Navalcarnero0