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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bayer Leverkusen v 1. FC Nürnberg: numbers & prediction

DFB Pokal · Germany · BayArena

Bayer Leverkusen

LWWWW
5–2
FT

1. FC Nürnberg

LDDWW
Bayer Leverkusen 75%Draw 14%1. FC Nürnberg 11% Expected goals 2.30 – 0.70
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultBayer Leverkusen to win ✓75% · @1.15
Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bayer Leverkusen welcome 1. FC Nürnberg to BayArena for a DFB Pokal fixture on Wednesday 28 October (20:45 WAT).

Current form

Bayer Leverkusen, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to 1899 Hoffenheim, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

1. FC Nürnberg, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to 1. FC Kaiserslautern, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bayer Leverkusen, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for 1. FC Nürnberg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bayer Leverkusen 2.3 xG, 1. FC Nürnberg 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bayer Leverkusen 75%, draw 14%, 1. FC Nürnberg 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bayer Leverkusen75%fair 1.33 · @1.15
Draw14%fair 7.22 · @7.50
1. FC Nürnberg11%fair 9.05 · @15.00
3.00Expected goals
2.30Bayer Leverkusen xG
0.701. FC Nürnberg xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Bayer Leverkusen 2.3 – 0.7 1. FC Nürnberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBayer Leverkusen to win ✓75%1.331.15
Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✓89%1.121.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.67
Draw no betBayer Leverkusen (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapBayer Leverkusen -1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
First team to scoreBayer Leverkusen to score first73%1.37–
Half-time resultBayer Leverkusen ahead at half-time ✗53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen ✗49%2.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.87–

Recent results

Bayer Leverkusen – last 6

LWWWWW
25 Oct@ 1899 Hoffenheim0–3L
22 Oct@ OFI2–0W
18 Octvs SC Freiburg2–1W
15 Oct@ Lech Poznan4–0W
10 Oct@ FSV Mainz 054–3W
20 Sepvs RB Leipzig2–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

1. FC Nürnberg – last 6

LDDWWW
24 Octvs 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–1L
16 Oct@ Energie Cottbus1–1D
10 Octvs VfL Wolfsburg4–4D
2 Octvs FC Ingolstadt 043–1W
19 Sep@ Karlsruher SC1–0W
11 Sepvs Hannover 962–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bayer Leverkusen and 1. FC Nürnberg.

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg head-to-head page →

More DFB Pokal predictions

League hub
FT SC Freiburg3 VfL Wolfsburg2 167%1.50X22%4.33211%5.00 4.0–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.50 ✓
FT SSV Jeddeloh0 Hertha BSC2 17%23.00X12%15.00282%1.06 1.0–3.5xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.75 ✗
FT SC Paderborn 070 VfB Stuttgart1 120%5.00X19%4.20262%1.53 1.9–3.1xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✗
FT Dynamo Dresden2 FC Schalke 040 131%3.25X21%3.40247%2.05 3.0–3.5xG GGBoth teams to score 75%@1.53 ✗
FT Bayern München6 1. FC Magdeburg1 178%1.04X11%17.00211%36.00 3.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@2.15 ✓
FT Hannover 960 1. FC Kaiserslautern2 146%2.25X21%3.40232%2.80 3.0–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 72%@1.44 ✗
FT Holstein Kiel1 1899 Hoffenheim1 Pens 4–3 115%5.50X22%4.50264%1.44 0.9–2.1xG 21899 Hoffenheim to win 64%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

On our numbers Bayer Leverkusen have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 14% and 1. FC Nürnberg 11%.

How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our predicted score is Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at BayArena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.