Bayern München 78%Draw 11%1. FC Magdeburg 11%Expected goals 3.29 – 1.21
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 2.15 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.15Odds
Picks by market
ResultBayern München to win ✓78% · @1.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @2.15
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.54
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: Bayern München v 1. FC Magdeburg in the DFB Pokal, played at Allianz Arena.
Current form
Bayern München, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over SC Freiburg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
1. FC Magdeburg, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Karlsruher SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bayern München 3.3 xG, 1. FC Magdeburg 1.2 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bayern München 78%, draw 11%, 1. FC Magdeburg 11%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 2.15.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayern München 3–1 1. FC Magdeburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bayern München78%fair 1.28 · @1.04
Draw11%fair 9.28 · @17.00
1. FC Magdeburg11%fair 9.02 · @36.00
4.50Expected goals
3.29Bayern München xG
1.211. FC Magdeburg xG
61%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–17%
3–07%
4–17%
2–06%
4–05%
From our goals model: Bayern München 3.3 – 1.2 1. FC Magdeburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern München to win✓
78%
1.28
1.04
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Bayern München (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Bayern München -1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
First team to score
Bayern München to score first
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Bayern München ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern München / FT Bayern München✓
55%
1.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.54
–
Recent results
Bayern München – last 6
WDWDDW
25 Oct
@ SC Freiburg
3–1
W
21 Oct
vs Arsenal
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs RB Leipzig
6–1
W
13 Oct
@ Viking
3–3
D
10 Oct
@ FC Augsburg
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Union Berlin
7–0
W
3.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
1. FC Magdeburg – last 6
WLWDWL
24 Oct
vs Karlsruher SC
6–1
W
18 Oct
@ Dynamo Dresden
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Hannover 96
3–0
W
18 Sep
@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hertha BSC
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayern München and 1. FC Magdeburg.
What is the prediction for Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
On our numbers Bayern München have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 11% and 1. FC Magdeburg 11%.
How many goals will there be in Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Our predicted score is Bayern München 3–1 1. FC Magdeburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.