SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg in the DFB Pokal, played at Europa-Park Stadion.
Current form
SC Freiburg, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bayern München, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
VfL Wolfsburg, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with VfL Bochum, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Freiburg 4.0 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 2.0 xG – a total near 6.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 94% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Freiburg 67%, draw 22%, VfL Wolfsburg 11%.
Lower-risk option: SC Freiburg or draw (89%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Freiburg67%fair 1.48 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.33
VfL Wolfsburg11%fair 9.13 · @5.00
6.00Expected goals
3.97SC Freiburg xG
2.03VfL Wolfsburg xG
71%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–25%
4–25%
3–15%
4–15%
5–24%
5–14%
From our goals model: SC Freiburg 4.0 – 2.0 VfL Wolfsburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Freiburg to win✓
67%
1.48
1.50
Double chance
SC Freiburg or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.42
1.50 ▲
Draw no bet
SC Freiburg (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
SC Freiburg -1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
SC Freiburg to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
SC Freiburg ahead at half-time✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–2✓
5%
18.76
–
Recent results
SC Freiburg – last 6
LLLWWW
25 Oct
vs Bayern München
1–3
L
22 Oct
@ Monaco
0–3
L
18 Oct
@ Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs FK Jablonec
3–2
W
11 Oct
vs FC Schalke 04
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs FC Luzern
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
VfL Wolfsburg – last 6
DWDWWL
23 Oct
@ VfL Bochum
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
4–4
D
1 Oct
vs Havelse
4–1
W
18 Sep
vs SV Darmstadt 98
5–1
W
12 Sep
@ FC St. Pauli
0–1
L
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Freiburg and VfL Wolfsburg.
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
On our numbers SC Freiburg have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and VfL Wolfsburg 11%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our predicted score is SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.
When is SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Europa-Park Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SSV Jeddeloh0
Hertha BSC2
SC Paderborn 070
VfB Stuttgart1
Dynamo Dresden2
FC Schalke 040
Bayer Leverkusen5
1. FC Nürnberg2
Bayern München6
1. FC Magdeburg1
Hannover 960
1. FC Kaiserslautern2
Holstein Kiel1
1899 Hoffenheim1