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Holstein Kiel v 1899 Hoffenheim: numbers & prediction

DFB Pokal · Germany · Holstein-Stadion
1–1
FTPens 4–3
Holstein Kiel 15%Draw 22%1899 Hoffenheim 64% Expected goals 0.91 – 2.09
64%
Betarazi pick

1899 Hoffenheim to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

Result1899 Hoffenheim to win ✗64% · @1.44
Double chance1899 Hoffenheim or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

1899 Hoffenheim travel to face Holstein Kiel on Wednesday 28 October in the DFB Pokal, with Holstein-Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.

Current form

Holstein Kiel, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dynamo Dresden, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

1899 Hoffenheim, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Bayer Leverkusen, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Jul 2026) it ended 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 Holstein Kiel.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Holstein Kiel 0.9 xG, 1899 Hoffenheim 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Holstein Kiel 15%, draw 22%, 1899 Hoffenheim 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: 1899 Hoffenheim or draw (85%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was 1899 Hoffenheim to win (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holstein Kiel 0–2 1899 Hoffenheim. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Holstein Kiel15%fair 6.85 · @5.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.50
1899 Hoffenheim64%fair 1.57 · @1.44
3.00Expected goals
0.91Holstein Kiel xG
2.091899 Hoffenheim xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Holstein Kiel 0.9 – 2.1 1899 Hoffenheim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result1899 Hoffenheim to win ✗64%1.571.44
Double chance1899 Hoffenheim or draw ✓85%1.171.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.44
Draw no bet1899 Hoffenheim (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicap1899 Hoffenheim -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to score1899 Hoffenheim to score first66%1.51–
Half-time result1899 Hoffenheim ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT 1899 Hoffenheim / FT 1899 Hoffenheim ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Holstein Kiel – last 6

WDLWDL
25 Octvs Dynamo Dresden3–0W
16 Octvs Hertha BSC0–0D
9 Oct@ Eintracht Braunschweig0–1L
3 Octvs Viborg3–1W
19 Sepvs VfL Osnabrück1–1D
13 Sep@ 1. FC Heidenheim0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

1899 Hoffenheim – last 6

WWWLLL
25 Octvs Bayer Leverkusen3–0W
22 Octvs Lyon3–0W
18 Oct@ Borussia Mönchengladbach2–1W
15 Octvs Beşiktaş2–3L
10 Octvs Hamburger SV2–3L
20 Sep@ SC Paderborn 071–3L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Jul 20261899 Hoffenheim v Holstein Kiel3–1
Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Our pick is 1899 Hoffenheim to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

On our numbers Holstein Kiel have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and 1899 Hoffenheim 64%.

How many goals will there be in Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Our predicted score is Holstein Kiel 0–2 1899 Hoffenheim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Holstein-Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.