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Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen: numbers & prediction

DFB Pokal · Germany · Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund

WWDLD
3–2
FT

Werder Bremen

WDDWD
Borussia Dortmund 71%Draw 20%Werder Bremen 9% Expected goals 2.88 – 1.12
71%
Betarazi pick

Borussia Dortmund to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultBorussia Dortmund to win ✓71% · @1.36
Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw ✓91% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Werder Bremen travel to face Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday 27 October in the DFB Pokal, with Signal Iduna Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.

Current form

Borussia Dortmund, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Werder Bremen, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FSV Mainz 05, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Oct 2026) it ended Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Borussia Dortmund 2.9 xG, Werder Bremen 1.1 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Borussia Dortmund 71%, draw 20%, Werder Bremen 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Borussia Dortmund to win (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Werder Bremen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Borussia Dortmund71%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.80
Werder Bremen9%fair 10.85 · @7.00
4.00Expected goals
2.88Borussia Dortmund xG
1.12Werder Bremen xG
61%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%

From our goals model: Borussia Dortmund 2.9 – 1.1 Werder Bremen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBorussia Dortmund to win ✓71%1.421.36
Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw ✓91%1.101.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.70
Draw no betBorussia Dortmund (draw no bet) ✓88%1.13–
Asian handicapBorussia Dortmund -1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
First team to scoreBorussia Dortmund to score first ✓71%1.42–
Half-time resultBorussia Dortmund ahead at half-time ✓56%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund ✓51%1.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.75–

Recent results

Borussia Dortmund – last 6

WWDLDW
24 Octvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–0W
20 Oct@ Sabah FA2–1W
17 Oct@ Union Berlin0–0D
14 Oct@ BodoGlimt0–1L
9 Octvs Werder Bremen2–2D
19 Sep@ VfB Stuttgart1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Werder Bremen – last 6

WDDWDW
24 Oct@ FSV Mainz 053–2W
17 Octvs SC Paderborn 072–2D
9 Oct@ Borussia Dortmund2–2D
19 Sepvs FC Augsburg3–2W
12 Sep@ 1. FC Köln1–1D
5 Sepvs RB Leipzig3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Oct 2026Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen2–2
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen head-to-head page →

More DFB Pokal predictions

League hub
FT VfL Bochum2 FSV Mainz 050 113%4.60X21%3.80266%1.65 2.1–3.9xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.57 ✗
FT SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2 FC Augsburg4 113%7.00X17%5.50270%1.30 0.8–2.2xG 2FC Augsburg to win 70%@1.30 ✓
FT Hamburger SV1 Eintracht Frankfurt3 132%2.90X21%3.50247%2.15 3.2–3.8xG GGBoth teams to score 77%@1.40 ✓
FT Rot-Weiß Essen1 RB Leipzig2 110%13.00X20%7.00270%1.17 1.2–2.8xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.75 ✓
FT Borussia Mönchengladbach2 Karlsruher SC0 167%1.36X17%4.80216%7.00 2.7–1.3xG 1Borussia Mönchengladbach to win 67%@1.36 ✓
FT SV Elversberg0 SV Darmstadt 982 169%1.40X17%4.80214%6.00 2.5–1.0xG 1SV Elversberg to win 69%@1.40 ✗
FT 1. FC Köln5 Union Berlin0 161%1.80X21%3.60217%3.80 2.9–1.6xG 1X1. FC Köln or draw 83%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Our pick is Borussia Dortmund to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

On our numbers Borussia Dortmund have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Werder Bremen 9%.

How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Our predicted score is Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Werder Bremen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Signal Iduna Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.