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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

1. FC Köln v Union Berlin: numbers & prediction

DFB Pokal · Germany · RheinEnergieStadion

1. FC Köln

DLWDL
5–0
FT

Union Berlin

DDWLL
1. FC Köln 61%Draw 21%Union Berlin 17% Expected goals 2.88 – 1.62
83%
Betarazi pick

1. FC Köln or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: 1. FC Köln to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

Result1. FC Köln to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chance1. FC Köln or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.40

1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Union Berlin travel to face 1. FC Köln on Tuesday 27 October in the DFB Pokal, with RheinEnergieStadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.

Current form

1. FC Köln, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Schalke 04, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Union Berlin, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Augsburg, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give 1. FC Köln 2.9 xG, Union Berlin 1.6 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – 1. FC Köln 61%, draw 21%, Union Berlin 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: 1. FC Köln or draw (83%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: 1. FC Köln to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was 1. FC Köln or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: 1. FC Köln 2–1 Union Berlin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

1. FC Köln61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
Union Berlin17%fair 5.75 · @3.80
4.50Expected goals
2.881. FC Köln xG
1.62Union Berlin xG
68%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–17%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
1–15%
4–15%

From our goals model: 1. FC Köln 2.9 – 1.6 Union Berlin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result1. FC Köln to win ✓61%1.631.80 ▲
Double chance1. FC Köln or draw ✓83%1.211.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.471.57 ▲
Draw no bet1. FC Köln (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicap1. FC Köln -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
First team to score1. FC Köln to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time result1. FC Köln ahead at half-time ✓50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT 1. FC Köln / FT 1. FC Köln ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.40–

Recent results

1. FC Köln – last 6

DLWDLD
24 Octvs FC Schalke 040–0D
16 Oct@ Eintracht Frankfurt0–1L
11 Octvs Borussia Mönchengladbach2–1W
3 Oct@ FC Viktoria Köln2–2D
19 Sep@ Hamburger SV1–2L
12 Sepvs Werder Bremen1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Union Berlin – last 6

DDWLLL
24 Oct@ FC Augsburg1–1D
17 Octvs Borussia Dortmund0–0D
10 Octvs SV Elversberg1–0W
18 Sep@ Bayern München0–7L
11 Sepvs FC Schalke 041–3L
5 Sep@ Bayer Leverkusen0–4L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Köln and Union Berlin.

1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin head-to-head page →

More DFB Pokal predictions

League hub
FT VfL Bochum2 FSV Mainz 050 113%4.60X21%3.80266%1.65 2.1–3.9xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.57 ✗
FT SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2 FC Augsburg4 113%7.00X17%5.50270%1.30 0.8–2.2xG 2FC Augsburg to win 70%@1.30 ✓
FT Hamburger SV1 Eintracht Frankfurt3 132%2.90X21%3.50247%2.15 3.2–3.8xG GGBoth teams to score 77%@1.40 ✓
FT Rot-Weiß Essen1 RB Leipzig2 110%13.00X20%7.00270%1.17 1.2–2.8xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.75 ✓
FT Borussia Mönchengladbach2 Karlsruher SC0 167%1.36X17%4.80216%7.00 2.7–1.3xG 1Borussia Mönchengladbach to win 67%@1.36 ✓
FT Borussia Dortmund3 Werder Bremen2 171%1.36X20%4.8029%7.00 2.9–1.1xG 1Borussia Dortmund to win 71%@1.36 ✓
FT SV Elversberg0 SV Darmstadt 982 169%1.40X17%4.80214%6.00 2.5–1.0xG 1SV Elversberg to win 69%@1.40 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?

Our pick is 1. FC Köln or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?

On our numbers 1. FC Köln have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union Berlin 17%.

How many goals will there be in 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?

Our predicted score is 1. FC Köln 2–1 Union Berlin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin?

1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at RheinEnergieStadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.