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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rot-Weiß Essen v RB Leipzig: numbers & prediction

DFB Pokal · Germany · Stadion Essen

Rot-Weiß Essen

WLWDD
1–2
FT

RB Leipzig

WLLWW
Rot-Weiß Essen 10%Draw 20%RB Leipzig 70% Expected goals 1.16 – 2.84
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultRB Leipzig to win ✓70% · @1.17
Double chanceRB Leipzig or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.68

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 27 October the DFB Pokal brings Rot-Weiß Essen against RB Leipzig at Stadion Essen. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Rot-Weiß Essen, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SSV Jahn Regensburg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

RB Leipzig, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over SV Elversberg, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rot-Weiß Essen 1.2 xG, RB Leipzig 2.8 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rot-Weiß Essen 10%, draw 20%, RB Leipzig 70%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rot-Weiß Essen 1–2 RB Leipzig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rot-Weiß Essen10%fair 9.64 · @13.00
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @7.00
RB Leipzig70%fair 1.43 · @1.17
4.00Expected goals
1.16Rot-Weiß Essen xG
2.84RB Leipzig xG
60%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%

From our goals model: Rot-Weiß Essen 1.2 – 2.8 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRB Leipzig to win ✓70%1.431.17
Double chanceRB Leipzig or draw ✓90%1.121.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.75 ▲
Draw no betRB Leipzig (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapRB Leipzig -1 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreRB Leipzig to score first ✗70%1.43–
Half-time resultRB Leipzig ahead at half-time ✗55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT RB Leipzig / FT RB Leipzig ✗50%2.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.68–

Recent results

Rot-Weiß Essen – last 6

WLWDDD
23 Octvs SSV Jahn Regensburg1–0W
17 Oct@ FC Ingolstadt 040–1L
13 Octvs Fortuna Köln2–0W
9 Oct@ Preußen Münster3–3D
3 Oct@ Arminia Bielefeld2–2D
20 Sepvs Hansa Rostock1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

RB Leipzig – last 6

WLLWWL
24 Octvs SV Elversberg4–0W
21 Oct@ Real Madrid1–4L
17 Oct@ Bayern München1–6L
13 Octvs PSV Eindhoven1–0W
10 Octvs Eintracht Frankfurt6–0W
20 Sep@ Bayer Leverkusen0–2L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rot-Weiß Essen and RB Leipzig.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig head-to-head page →

More DFB Pokal predictions

League hub
FT VfL Bochum2 FSV Mainz 050 113%4.60X21%3.80266%1.65 2.1–3.9xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.57 ✗
FT SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2 FC Augsburg4 113%7.00X17%5.50270%1.30 0.8–2.2xG 2FC Augsburg to win 70%@1.30 ✓
FT Hamburger SV1 Eintracht Frankfurt3 132%2.90X21%3.50247%2.15 3.2–3.8xG GGBoth teams to score 77%@1.40 ✓
FT Borussia Mönchengladbach2 Karlsruher SC0 167%1.36X17%4.80216%7.00 2.7–1.3xG 1Borussia Mönchengladbach to win 67%@1.36 ✓
FT Borussia Dortmund3 Werder Bremen2 171%1.36X20%4.8029%7.00 2.9–1.1xG 1Borussia Dortmund to win 71%@1.36 ✓
FT SV Elversberg0 SV Darmstadt 982 169%1.40X17%4.80214%6.00 2.5–1.0xG 1SV Elversberg to win 69%@1.40 ✗
FT 1. FC Köln5 Union Berlin0 161%1.80X21%3.60217%3.80 2.9–1.6xG 1X1. FC Köln or draw 83%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

On our numbers Rot-Weiß Essen have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and RB Leipzig 70%.

How many goals will there be in Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

Our predicted score is Rot-Weiß Essen 1–2 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Essen.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.