Egypt v South Africa Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEgypt to win ✗63% · @1.73

Double chanceEgypt or draw ✗84% · @1.17

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.70

Egypt vs South Africa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Egypt v South Africa in the Friendlies.

Current form

Egypt, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over South Sudan, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

South Africa, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Eritrea, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Egypt 1.4 xG, South Africa 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Egypt 63%, draw 22%, South Africa 16%.
Lower-risk option: Egypt or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Egypt to win (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Egypt 1–0 South Africa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Egypt63%fair 1.60 · @1.73

Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25

South Africa16%fair 6.40 · @4.50

1.88Expected goals

1.40Egypt xG

0.48South Africa xG

47%Both score

29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%

0–015%

2–015%

1–110%

0–17%

2–17%

From our goals model: Egypt 1.4 – 0.5 South Africa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Egypt to win ✗	63%	1.60	1.73 ▲
Double chance	Egypt or draw ✗	84%	1.19	1.17
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.88	1.75
Draw no bet	Egypt (draw no bet) ✗	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	South Africa +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	70%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	56%	1.78	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	96%	1.04	–
First team to score	Egypt to score first ✗	63%	1.59	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	50%	2.01	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Egypt / FT Egypt ✗	36%	2.80	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	21%	4.70	–

Egypt – last 6

WDLDDW

29 Sep	@ South Sudan	5–0	W
25 Sep	vs Angola	0–0	D
7 Jul	@ Argentina	2–3	L
3 Jul	@ Australia	1–1	D
27 Jun	vs Iran	1–1	D
22 Jun	@ New Zealand	3–1	W

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

South Africa – last 6

WWLWDL

30 Sep	@ Eritrea	5–0	W
26 Sep	vs Guinea	2–1	W
28 Jun	vs Canada	0–1	L
25 Jun	vs South Korea	1–0	W
18 Jun	@ Czechia	1–1	D
11 Jun	@ Mexico	0–2	L

1.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Egypt vs South Africa?

Our pick is Egypt to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Egypt vs South Africa?

On our numbers Egypt have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and South Africa 16%.

How many goals will there be in Egypt vs South Africa?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Egypt vs South Africa?

Our predicted score is Egypt 1–0 South Africa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Egypt vs South Africa?

Egypt vs South Africa (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Egypt v South Africa: numbers & prediction

Egypt

South Africa

Egypt to win