Kyrgyzstan v Lebanon Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultKyrgyzstan to win ✓58% · @1.85

Double chanceKyrgyzstan or draw ✓80% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.95

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lebanon travel to face Kyrgyzstan on Sunday 4 October in the Friendlies – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Kyrgyzstan, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Maldives, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kyrgyzstan 2.0 xG, Lebanon 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Kyrgyzstan 58%, draw 22%, Lebanon 20%.
Lower-risk option: Kyrgyzstan or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kyrgyzstan or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyrgyzstan 2–1 Lebanon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kyrgyzstan58%fair 1.71 · @1.85

Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.10

Lebanon20%fair 5.03 · @3.80

3.17Expected goals

2.05Kyrgyzstan xG

1.12Lebanon xG

59%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

1–110%

2–09%

1–09%

3–17%

3–06%

From our goals model: Kyrgyzstan 2.0 – 1.1 Lebanon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Kyrgyzstan to win ✓	58%	1.71	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Kyrgyzstan or draw ✓	80%	1.25	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.69	1.95 ▲
Draw no bet	Kyrgyzstan (draw no bet) ✓	75%	1.34	–
Asian handicap	Lebanon +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	64%	1.55	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.21	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	–
First team to score	Kyrgyzstan to score first ✓	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Kyrgyzstan ahead at half-time ✓	44%	2.29	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Kyrgyzstan / FT Kyrgyzstan ✓	37%	2.67	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.12	–

Kyrgyzstan – last 3

WDD

28 Sep	vs Maldives	5–0	W
9 Jun	vs Palestine	0–0	D
6 Jun	vs Palestine	0–0	D

1.7Scored / game

0.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Lebanon – last 2

1 Oct	@ Maldives	6–0	W
4 Jun	vs Yemen	0–2	L

3.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon?

Our pick is Kyrgyzstan or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon?

On our numbers Kyrgyzstan have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lebanon 20%.

How many goals will there be in Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon?

Our predicted score is Kyrgyzstan 2–1 Lebanon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon?

Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Kyrgyzstan v Lebanon: numbers & prediction

Kyrgyzstan

Lebanon

Kyrgyzstan or draw