Value bet: Brazil U20 to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBrazil U20 to win ✓57% · @1.90
Double chanceBrazil U20 or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Brazil U20 v Mexico U20 in the Friendlies, played at Pinatar Arena.
Current form
Mexico U20, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Spain U20, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brazil U20 1.7 xG, Mexico U20 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brazil U20 57%, draw 24%, Mexico U20 19%.
Lower-risk option: Brazil U20 or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Brazil U20 to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brazil U20 1–1 Mexico U20. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brazil U2057%fair 1.75 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.30
Mexico U2019%fair 5.35 · @3.50
2.58Expected goals
1.71Brazil U20 xG
0.87Mexico U20 xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Brazil U20 1.7 – 0.9 Mexico U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brazil U20 to win✓
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Brazil U20 or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Draw no bet
Brazil U20 (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Mexico U20 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.17
First team to score
Brazil U20 to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brazil U20 / FT Brazil U20✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Brazil U20 – last 2
WW
1 Oct
vs United States U20
2–0
W
31 Mar
vs Paraguay U20
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mexico U20 – last 6
LWWWWW
30 Sep
@ Spain U20
0–2
L
10 Aug
@ United States U20
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Canada U20
2–1
W
6 Aug
vs Panama U20
4–0
W
31 Jul
vs Guatemala U20
4–0
W
30 Jul
vs Venezuela U21
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brazil U20 and Mexico U20.
What is the prediction for Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20?
On our numbers Brazil U20 have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mexico U20 19%.
How many goals will there be in Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20?
Our predicted score is Brazil U20 1–1 Mexico U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20?
Brazil U20 vs Mexico U20 (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Pinatar Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentina7
Burkina Faso0
USA3
Mexico0
Denmark U203
United States U203
Kyrgyzstan3
Lebanon1
Egypt0
South Africa1