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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gorleston v Bury Town: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England
3–4
FT
Gorleston 12%Draw 23%Bury Town 65% Expected goals 1.42 – 2.94
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultBury Town to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceBury Town or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.76

Gorleston vs Bury Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gorleston welcome Bury Town for a FA Cup fixture on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Gorleston, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Newmarket, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Bury Town, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bromsgrove Sporting, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Bury Town, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Gorleston.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gorleston 1.4 xG, Bury Town 2.9 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gorleston 12%, draw 23%, Bury Town 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gorleston 1–2 Bury Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gorleston12%fair 8.03 · @5.00
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.00
Bury Town65%fair 1.54 · @1.50
4.36Expected goals
1.42Gorleston xG
2.94Bury Town xG
60%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–38%
1–46%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%

From our goals model: Gorleston 1.4 – 2.9 Bury Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBury Town to win ✓65%1.541.50
Double chanceBury Town or draw ✓88%1.14–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.65–
Draw no betBury Town (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapBury Town -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.391.50 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
First team to scoreBury Town to score first66%1.50–
Half-time resultBury Town ahead at half-time ✓53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bury Town / FT Bury Town ✓47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.76–

Recent results

Gorleston – last 5

LWWLL
12 Sep@ Newmarket2–5L
5 Sep@ Leighton Town4–1W
29 Aug@ Stotfold3–0W
28 Julvs Leiston1–3L
6 Apr@ Wroxham0–1L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Bury Town – last 6

LWWWWW
12 Sep@ Bromsgrove Sporting0–1L
5 Sep@ London Lions4–2W
31 Augvs Leiston4–3W
29 Aug@ Leighton Town3–2W
22 Augvs Leamington3–0W
15 Aug@ Stratford Town3–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gorleston and Bury Town.

Gorleston vs Bury Town head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gorleston vs Bury Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Gorleston vs Bury Town?

On our numbers Gorleston have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bury Town 65%.

How many goals will there be in Gorleston vs Bury Town?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gorleston vs Bury Town?

Our predicted score is Gorleston 1–2 Bury Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.

When is Gorleston vs Bury Town?

Gorleston vs Bury Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.