Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Merthyr Town vs Truro City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the FA Cup brings Merthyr Town against Truro City. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Merthyr Town, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Scarborough Athletic, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Truro City, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Salisbury, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Merthyr Town 1.3 xG, Truro City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Merthyr Town 38%, draw 22%, Truro City 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Merthyr Town 1–1 Truro City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Merthyr Town38%fair 2.61 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Truro City40%fair 2.51 · @2.40
2.67Expected goals
1.32Merthyr Town xG
1.35Truro City xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Merthyr Town 1.3 – 1.4 Truro City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Truro City to win✗
40%
2.51
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Truro City (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Merthyr Town +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Truro City to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Truro City / FT Truro City✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Merthyr Town – last 6
DWWLDD
12 Sep
@ Scarborough Athletic
0–0
D
8 Sep
@ Chester
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Macclesfield
2–1
W
31 Aug
@ Buxton
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Chorley
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ South Shields
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Truro City – last 6
DDWWLW
15 Sep
vs Salisbury
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Walton & Hersham
1–1
D
8 Sep
vs Leicester City U21
4–1
W
5 Sep
vs Chesham United
3–1
W
31 Aug
@ Dorking Wanderers
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Dagenham & Redbridge
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merthyr Town and Truro City.
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town vs Truro City?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Merthyr Town vs Truro City?
On our numbers Merthyr Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Truro City 40%.
How many goals will there be in Merthyr Town vs Truro City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merthyr Town vs Truro City?
Our predicted score is Merthyr Town 1–1 Truro City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Merthyr Town vs Truro City?
Merthyr Town vs Truro City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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