Montedio Yamagata v Yokohama F. Marinos: numbers & prediction

Montedio Yamagata vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: Montedio Yamagata v Yokohama F. Marinos in the J League Cup, played at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.

Current form

Montedio Yamagata, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sagan Tosu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Yokohama F. Marinos, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mito Hollyhock, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montedio Yamagata 0.1 xG, Yokohama F. Marinos 0.9 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Montedio Yamagata 12%, draw 22%, Yokohama F. Marinos 66%.
• Lower-risk option: Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (88%) at 1.18.
• GG/NG: NG (59%) at 2.00.
• Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Yokohama F. Marinos to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montedio Yamagata 0–1 Yokohama F. Marinos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.