Welling United 59%Draw 18%Chertsey Town 23%Expected goals 1.98 – 1.12
59%
Betarazi pick
Welling United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultWelling United to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Welling United vs Chertsey Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Welling United v Chertsey Town in the FA Trophy.
Current form
Welling United, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Dulwich Hamlet, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Chertsey Town, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Chichester City, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Welling United 2.0 xG, Chertsey Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Welling United 59%, draw 18%, Chertsey Town 23%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Welling United to win (59%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Welling United 2–1 Chertsey Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Welling United59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @3.60
Chertsey Town23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
3.10Expected goals
1.98Welling United xG
1.12Chertsey Town xG
51%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Welling United 2.0 – 1.1 Chertsey Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Welling United to win✗
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Welling United (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Chertsey Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Welling United to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Welling United ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Welling United / FT Welling United✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Welling United – last 6
LWWDLW
19 Sep
@ Dulwich Hamlet
1–4
L
15 Sep
vs Cheshunt
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Wingate & Finchley
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ Faversham Town
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Cray Wanderers
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Ramsgate
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chertsey Town – last 6
DWWDLL
22 Sep
@ Chichester City
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Greenwich Borough
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Malvern Town
5–0
W
5 Sep
vs Carshalton Athletic
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Hanworth Villa
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Frome Town
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Welling United and Chertsey Town.
What is the prediction for Welling United vs Chertsey Town?
Our pick is Welling United to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Welling United vs Chertsey Town?
On our numbers Welling United have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Chertsey Town 23%.
How many goals will there be in Welling United vs Chertsey Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Welling United vs Chertsey Town?
Our predicted score is Welling United 2–1 Chertsey Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Welling United vs Chertsey Town?
Welling United vs Chertsey Town (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alfreton Town2
Shifnal Town FC1
Bedworth United0
Redditch United1
Bury3
Gainsborough Trinity3
Cleethorpes Town5
Lancaster City1
Hallam1
Prescot Cables1
Hyde United2
United of Manchester0
Leiston0
Dartford3
Moneyfields1
Wimborne Town3