Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Haiti to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHaiti to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceHaiti or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Dominican Republic vs Haiti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Haiti travel to face Dominican Republic on Friday 2 October in the CONCACAF Nations League, with Félix Sánchez Olympic Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Dominican Republic, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Trinidad and Tobago, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Haiti, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Costa Rica, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dominican Republic, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Haiti.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dominican Republic 1.3 xG, Haiti 2.5 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dominican Republic 17%, draw 20%, Haiti 63%.
Lower-risk option: Haiti or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Haiti to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Haiti or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dominican Republic 1–2 Haiti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dominican Republic17%fair 5.87 · @3.75
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.70
Haiti63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
3.75Expected goals
1.27Dominican Republic xG
2.48Haiti xG
66%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–27%
0–36%
0–16%
From our goals model: Dominican Republic 1.3 – 2.5 Haiti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haiti to win✓
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Haiti or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.57
Draw no bet
Haiti (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Haiti -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
Haiti to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Haiti ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haiti / FT Haiti✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Dominican Republic – last 4
WWLD
28 Sep
@ Trinidad and Tobago
2–1
W
25 Sep
vs Nicaragua
3–2
W
4 Jun
@ Panama
2–4
L
27 Mar
vs El Salvador
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Haiti – last 6
WWLLLL
28 Sep
vs Costa Rica
2–0
W
25 Sep
vs Trinidad and Tobago
3–2
W
24 Jun
@ Morocco
2–4
L
20 Jun
@ Brazil
0–3
L
14 Jun
vs Scotland
0–1
L
6 Jun
vs Peru
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dominican Republic and Haiti.
What is the prediction for Dominican Republic vs Haiti?
Our pick is Haiti or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dominican Republic vs Haiti?
On our numbers Dominican Republic have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Haiti 63%.
How many goals will there be in Dominican Republic vs Haiti?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dominican Republic vs Haiti?
Our predicted score is Dominican Republic 1–2 Haiti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Dominican Republic vs Haiti?
Dominican Republic vs Haiti (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Félix Sánchez Olympic Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cayman Islands0
Puerto Rico3
Nicaragua0
Costa Rica3
St. Lucia3
Guadeloupe0
St. Kitts and Nevis3
Cuba3
Suriname0
Guatemala0