St. Kitts and Nevis 15%Draw 24%Cuba 62%Expected goals 0.83 – 1.92
85%
Betarazi pick
Cuba or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Cuba to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCuba to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceCuba or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Friday 2 October: St. Kitts and Nevis v Cuba in the CONCACAF Nations League, played at Hasely Crawford Stadium.
Current form
St. Kitts and Nevis, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Grenada, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Cuba, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bonaire, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Kitts and Nevis 0.8 xG, Cuba 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Kitts and Nevis 15%, draw 24%, Cuba 62%.
Lower-risk option: Cuba or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Cuba to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cuba or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Kitts and Nevis 0–1 Cuba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Kitts and Nevis15%fair 6.84 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
Cuba62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
2.75Expected goals
0.83St. Kitts and Nevis xG
1.92Cuba xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: St. Kitts and Nevis 0.8 – 1.9 Cuba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cuba to win✗
62%
1.62
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Cuba or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Cuba (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Cuba -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Cuba to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Cuba ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cuba / FT Cuba✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
St. Kitts and Nevis – last 4
WWWL
29 Sep
vs Grenada
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Bonaire
2–1
W
30 Mar
vs Solomon Islands
4–2
W
27 Mar
@ Indonesia
0–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cuba – last 3
WWD
28 Sep
vs Bonaire
2–0
W
25 Sep
@ Grenada
3–0
W
26 Mar
@ Martinique
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Kitts and Nevis and Cuba.
What is the prediction for St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba?
Our pick is Cuba or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba?
On our numbers St. Kitts and Nevis have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cuba 62%.
How many goals will there be in St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba?
Our predicted score is St. Kitts and Nevis 0–1 Cuba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba?
St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Hasely Crawford Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.