St. Lucia 35%Draw 22%Guadeloupe 43%Expected goals 1.90 – 2.10
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuadeloupe to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.02
St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 2 October the CONCACAF Nations League brings St. Lucia against Guadeloupe at BFA Technical Centre. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Current form
St. Lucia, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Bermuda, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Lucia 1.9 xG, Guadeloupe 2.1 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Lucia 35%, draw 22%, Guadeloupe 43%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Lucia 1–2 Guadeloupe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Lucia35%fair 2.83 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
Guadeloupe43%fair 2.32 · @2.25
4.00Expected goals
1.90St. Lucia xG
2.10Guadeloupe xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: St. Lucia 1.9 – 2.1 Guadeloupe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadeloupe to win✗
43%
2.32
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.50
Draw no bet
Guadeloupe (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
St. Lucia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Guadeloupe to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Guadeloupe ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadeloupe / FT Guadeloupe✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.02
–
Recent results
St. Lucia – last 3
WLL
29 Sep
vs Bermuda
5–2
W
26 Sep
@ Barbados
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Azerbaijan
1–6
L
2.0Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Guadeloupe – last 2
DW
28 Sep
vs Barbados
2–2
D
25 Sep
@ Bermuda
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Lucia and Guadeloupe.
What is the prediction for St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe?
On our numbers St. Lucia have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guadeloupe 43%.
How many goals will there be in St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe?
Our predicted score is St. Lucia 1–2 Guadeloupe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe?
St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at BFA Technical Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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