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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nicaragua v Costa Rica: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · Nicaragua National Football Stadium

Nicaragua

LLLDL
0–3
FT

Costa Rica

LLLLD
Nicaragua 8%Draw 18%Costa Rica 74% Expected goals 1.52 – 3.73
74%
Betarazi pick

Costa Rica to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 66% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCosta Rica to win ✓74% · @1.22
Double chanceCosta Rica or draw ✓92% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @2.05
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 14.50

Nicaragua vs Costa Rica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Friday 2 October: Nicaragua v Costa Rica in the CONCACAF Nations League, played at Nicaragua National Football Stadium.

Current form

Nicaragua, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Curaçao, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Costa Rica, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Haiti, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nicaragua 1.5 xG, Costa Rica 3.7 xG – a total near 5.3. That is an open game on paper: 89% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nicaragua 8%, draw 18%, Costa Rica 74%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 66%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Costa Rica to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nicaragua 1–3 Costa Rica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nicaragua8%fair 12.73 · @12.00
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @5.50
Costa Rica74%fair 1.35 · @1.22
5.25Expected goals
1.52Nicaragua xG
3.73Costa Rica xG
66%Both score
89%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–37%
1–46%
1–26%
2–35%
2–45%
1–55%

From our goals model: Nicaragua 1.5 – 3.7 Costa Rica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCosta Rica to win ✓74%1.351.22
Double chanceCosta Rica or draw ✓92%1.091.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.532.05 ▲
Draw no betCosta Rica (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapCosta Rica -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
First team to scoreCosta Rica to score first ✓71%1.42–
Half-time resultCosta Rica ahead at half-time ✗61%1.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Costa Rica / FT Costa Rica ✗56%1.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7%14.50–

Recent results

Nicaragua – last 5

LLLDL
28 Sep@ Curaçao1–6L
25 Sep@ Dominican Republic2–3L
5 Jun@ Paraguay0–4L
29 May@ South Africa0–0D
27 Mar@ Russia1–3L
0.8Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Costa Rica – last 5

LLLLD
28 Sep@ Haiti0–2L
25 Sepvs Curaçao3–4L
10 Jun@ England0–3L
31 Marvs Iran0–5L
27 Mar@ Jordan2–2D
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nicaragua and Costa Rica.

Nicaragua vs Costa Rica head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Cayman Islands0 Puerto Rico3 113%29.00X13%10.00274%1.08 0.1–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 63%@1.40 ✓
FT Dominican Republic1 Haiti4 117%3.75X20%3.70263%1.80 1.3–2.5xG X2Haiti or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT St. Lucia3 Guadeloupe0 135%2.88X22%3.40243%2.25 1.9–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.50 ✗
FT St. Kitts and Nevis3 Cuba3 115%4.00X24%3.40262%1.80 0.8–1.9xG X2Cuba or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Suriname0 Guatemala0 143%2.10X22%3.30235%3.20 2.5–2.3xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.67 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nicaragua vs Costa Rica?

Our pick is Costa Rica to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Nicaragua vs Costa Rica?

On our numbers Nicaragua have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Costa Rica 74%.

How many goals will there be in Nicaragua vs Costa Rica?

We expect about 5.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 89% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nicaragua vs Costa Rica?

Our predicted score is Nicaragua 1–3 Costa Rica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.3 goals in total.

When is Nicaragua vs Costa Rica?

Nicaragua vs Costa Rica (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Nicaragua National Football Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.