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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama: numbers & prediction

J League Cup · Japan · Toyota Stadium
3–3
FTPens 4–3
Nagoya Grampus 42%Draw 23%Fagiano Okayama 35% Expected goals 1.84 – 1.66
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.76

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nagoya Grampus welcome Fagiano Okayama to Toyota Stadium for a J League Cup fixture on Wednesday 14 October (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Nagoya Grampus, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kawasaki Frontale, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Fagiano Okayama, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Avispa Fukuoka, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fagiano Okayama, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Nagoya Grampus.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Fagiano Okayama.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nagoya Grampus 1.8 xG, Fagiano Okayama 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nagoya Grampus 42%, draw 23%, Fagiano Okayama 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nagoya Grampus42%fair 2.37 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Fagiano Okayama35%fair 2.89 · @2.90
3.50Expected goals
1.84Nagoya Grampus xG
1.66Fagiano Okayama xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%

From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.8 – 1.7 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNagoya Grampus to win ✗42%2.372.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.65 ▲
Draw no betNagoya Grampus (draw no bet)55%1.82–
Asian handicapFagiano Okayama +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.38–
First team to scoreNagoya Grampus to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nagoya Grampus / FT Nagoya Grampus ✗26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.76–

Recent results

Nagoya Grampus – last 6

WWLLLL
11 Oct@ Kawasaki Frontale2–1W
29 Sep@ Kitakyushu3–1W
19 Sep@ FC Tokyo0–1L
12 Sep@ V-varen Nagasaki0–2L
6 Sepvs Machida Zelvia1–3L
2 Sep@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fagiano Okayama – last 6

LWWLWW
10 Oct@ Avispa Fukuoka1–2L
7 Octvs JEF United Chiba1–0W
29 Sep@ Consadole Sapporo2–1W
19 Sepvs Kyoto Sanga1–2L
13 Sep@ Urawa2–1W
6 Sepvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama2–1
Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama head-to-head page →

J League Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagoya Grampus6501+615
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima6303+59
3Yokohama FC6204-36
4Vissel Kobe6204-86

More J League Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fagiano Okayama 35%.

How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.