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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yokohama F. Marinos v Shimizu S-pulse: numbers & prediction

J League Cup · Japan · Nissan Stadium
Yokohama F. Marinos 61%Draw 23%Shimizu S-pulse 15% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.75
85%
Betarazi pick

Yokohama F. Marinos or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultYokohama F. Marinos to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceYokohama F. Marinos or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.62

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 14 October the J League Cup brings Yokohama F. Marinos against Shimizu S-pulse at Nissan Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Yokohama F. Marinos are 1st on 15 points after 6 matches; Shimizu S-pulse are 5th with 8.

Current form

Yokohama F. Marinos, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cerezo Osaka, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mito Hollyhock, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Shimizu S-pulse 0–1 Yokohama F. Marinos. The last 3 head-to-heads: Yokohama F. Marinos 2 wins, Shimizu S-pulse 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yokohama F. Marinos 1.8 xG, Shimizu S-pulse 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yokohama F. Marinos 61%, draw 23%, Shimizu S-pulse 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (85%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yokohama F. Marinos 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yokohama F. Marinos61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.00
Shimizu S-pulse15%fair 6.47 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.75Yokohama F. Marinos xG
0.75Shimizu S-pulse xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.8 – 0.7 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYokohama F. Marinos to win ✓61%1.631.95 ▲
Double chanceYokohama F. Marinos or draw ✓85%1.181.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.73
Draw no betYokohama F. Marinos (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapYokohama F. Marinos -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreYokohama F. Marinos to score first64%1.55–
Half-time resultYokohama F. Marinos ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yokohama F. Marinos / FT Yokohama F. Marinos ✗38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.62–

Recent results

Yokohama F. Marinos – last 6

DWWWDW
10 Oct@ Cerezo Osaka0–0D
7 Octvs Kyoto Sangyo University2–1W
29 Sep@ Montedio Yamagata2–1W
19 Sepvs Mito Hollyhock2–0W
12 Sep@ Machida Zelvia1–1D
6 Sep@ Kashiwa Reysol2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Shimizu S-pulse – last 6

WDWWWL
11 Oct@ Mito Hollyhock2–1W
7 Octvs V-varen Nagasaki1–1D
29 Sep@ Kanazawa2–0W
19 Sepvs JEF United Chiba2–1W
12 Sepvs Avispa Fukuoka1–0W
6 Sep@ Kawasaki Frontale1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026Shimizu S-pulse v Yokohama F. Marinos0–1
6 Jun 2026Yokohama F. Marinos v Shimizu S-pulse3–0
31 May 2026Shimizu S-pulse v Yokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse head-to-head page →

J League Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Yokohama F. Marinos6501+915
2Consadole Sapporo6312+310
3Jubilo Iwata6204-16
4Sagan Tosu6114-114

More J League Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Our pick is Yokohama F. Marinos or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse?

On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shimizu S-pulse 15%.

How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.