Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultYokohama F. Marinos to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceYokohama F. Marinos or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.62
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 14 October the J League Cup brings Yokohama F. Marinos against Shimizu S-pulse at Nissan Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Yokohama F. Marinos are 1st on 15 points after 6 matches; Shimizu S-pulse are 5th with 8.
Current form
Yokohama F. Marinos, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cerezo Osaka, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mito Hollyhock, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Shimizu S-pulse 0–1 Yokohama F. Marinos. The last 3 head-to-heads: Yokohama F. Marinos 2 wins, Shimizu S-pulse 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yokohama F. Marinos 1.8 xG, Shimizu S-pulse 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yokohama F. Marinos 61%, draw 23%, Shimizu S-pulse 15%.
Lower-risk option: Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yokohama F. Marinos 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yokohama F. Marinos61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.00
Shimizu S-pulse15%fair 6.47 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.75Yokohama F. Marinos xG
0.75Shimizu S-pulse xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.8 – 0.7 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our pick is Yokohama F. Marinos or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse?
On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shimizu S-pulse 15%.
How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-pulse (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.