Value bet: Amorebieta to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUD Logroñés to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Amorebieta welcome UD Logroñés to Campo Municipal de Urritxe for a Copa Del Rey fixture on Tuesday 10 November (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Amorebieta, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Basconia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
UD Logroñés, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Racing Ferrol, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amorebieta 1.3 xG, UD Logroñés 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amorebieta 35%, draw 23%, UD Logroñés 42%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Amorebieta to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amorebieta 1–1 UD Logroñés. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amorebieta35%fair 2.86 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.25
UD Logroñés42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
2.73Expected goals
1.28Amorebieta xG
1.44UD Logroñés xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Amorebieta 1.3 – 1.4 UD Logroñés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD Logroñés to win✗
42%
2.36
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.70
Draw no bet
UD Logroñés (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Amorebieta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
UD Logroñés to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD Logroñés / FT UD Logroñés✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Amorebieta – last 6
LWWWLW
7 Nov
@ Basconia
1–2
L
1 Nov
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Gernika
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Portugalete
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UD Logroñés – last 6
WLWDLW
7 Nov
@ Racing Ferrol
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs Mirandes
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Real Avilés
3–1
W
18 Oct
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
12 Oct
@ Lugo
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amorebieta and UD Logroñés.
What is the prediction for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
On our numbers Amorebieta have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UD Logroñés 42%.
How many goals will there be in Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
Our predicted score is Amorebieta 1–1 UD Logroñés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Anaitasuna1
Alaves6
Pamplona0
Eibar3
Mijas Las Lagunas1
Real Jaén2
Trival Valderas0
Leganes1