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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Trival Valderas v Leganes: numbers & prediction

Copa Del Rey · Spain · Estadio Municipal de Butarque
0–1
FT

Leganes

LLDLL
Trival Valderas 6%Draw 19%Leganes 75% Expected goals 0.69 – 2.53
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeganes to win ✓75% · @1.12
Double chanceLeganes or draw ✓94% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗11% · fair 9.31

Trival Valderas vs Leganes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Trival Valderas welcome Leganes to Estadio Municipal de Butarque for a Copa Del Rey fixture on Tuesday 10 November (20:00 WAT).

Current form

Trival Valderas, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with RC Alcobendas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Leganes, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Albacete, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Trival Valderas, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Leganes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Trival Valderas 0.7 xG, Leganes 2.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 48% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Trival Valderas 6%, draw 19%, Leganes 75%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trival Valderas 0–3 Leganes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Trival Valderas6%fair 16.54 · @19.00
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @7.50
Leganes75%fair 1.33 · @1.12
3.22Expected goals
0.69Trival Valderas xG
2.53Leganes xG
48%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–213%
0–311%
0–110%
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%

From our goals model: Trival Valderas 0.7 – 2.5 Leganes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeganes to win ✓75%1.331.12
Double chanceLeganes or draw ✓94%1.061.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.921.44
Draw no betLeganes (draw no bet) ✓93%1.08–
Asian handicapLeganes -1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.201.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.601.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
First team to scoreLeganes to score first ✓75%1.33–
Half-time resultLeganes ahead at half-time ✗57%1.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leganes / FT Leganes ✗53%1.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗11%9.31–

Recent results

Trival Valderas – last 6

DDDDLW
8 Nov@ RC Alcobendas1–1D
1 Novvs Galapagar2–2D
25 Oct@ Leganés II2–2D
18 Octvs Cala Pozuelo2–2D
11 Oct@ Rayo Vallecano II0–1L
4 Octvs Las Rozas2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Leganes – last 6

LLDLLL
7 Novvs Albacete1–3L
2 Nov@ Valladolid3–4L
24 Octvs Mallorca1–1D
16 Octvs Cordoba0–1L
11 Oct@ Almeria0–3L
3 Oct@ Cadiz0–4L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Trival Valderas and Leganes.

Trival Valderas vs Leganes head-to-head page →

More Copa Del Rey predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trival Valderas vs Leganes?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Leganes?

On our numbers Trival Valderas have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Leganes 75%.

How many goals will there be in Trival Valderas vs Leganes?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trival Valderas vs Leganes?

Our predicted score is Trival Valderas 0–3 Leganes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Trival Valderas vs Leganes?

Trival Valderas vs Leganes (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.