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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Jaén: numbers & prediction

Copa Del Rey · Spain

Mijas Las Lagunas

DDDWW
1–2
FT

Real Jaén

LWDWD
Mijas Las Lagunas 19%Draw 24%Real Jaén 58% Expected goals 0.88 – 1.74
81%
Betarazi pick

Real Jaén or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Jaén to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceReal Jaén or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.31

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Jaén travel to face Mijas Las Lagunas on Tuesday 10 November in the Copa Del Rey – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Mijas Las Lagunas, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Recreativo Huelva, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Real Jaén, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Alcorcon, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mijas Las Lagunas 0.9 xG, Real Jaén 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mijas Las Lagunas 19%, draw 24%, Real Jaén 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Real Jaén or draw (81%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Jaén or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mijas Las Lagunas 0–1 Real Jaén. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mijas Las Lagunas19%fair 5.39 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
Real Jaén58%fair 1.73 · @1.83
2.62Expected goals
0.88Mijas Las Lagunas xG
1.74Real Jaén xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%

From our goals model: Mijas Las Lagunas 0.9 – 1.7 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Jaén to win ✓58%1.731.83 ▲
Double chanceReal Jaén or draw ✓81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.80
Draw no betReal Jaén (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapMijas Las Lagunas +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreReal Jaén to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén ✓36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.31–

Recent results

Mijas Las Lagunas – last 6

DDDWWD
7 Nov@ Recreativo Huelva1–1D
1 Nov@ Marbella0–0D
24 Octvs Real Betis II1–1D
18 Oct@ Tenerife II3–1W
11 Octvs Sevilla Atletico3–1W
4 Oct@ Sanluqueño2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Jaén – last 6

LWDWDD
7 Nov@ Alcorcon3–4L
2 Novvs Algeciras3–2W
25 Oct@ Atlético Madrid II1–1D
18 Octvs Rayo Majadahonda1–0W
10 Octvs Villarreal II3–3D
3 Oct@ Hércules0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mijas Las Lagunas and Real Jaén.

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén head-to-head page →

More Copa Del Rey predictions

League hub
FT Anaitasuna1 Alaves6 112%26.00X14%13.00275%1.07 1.6–3.7xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Pamplona0 Eibar3 19%8.00X19%4.60272%1.35 0.8–2.5xG 2Eibar to win 72%@1.35 ✓
FT Amorebieta1 UD Logroñés0 135%3.20X23%3.25242%2.15 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✗
FT Trival Valderas0 Leganes1 16%19.00X19%7.50275%1.12 0.7–2.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

Our pick is Real Jaén or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

On our numbers Mijas Las Lagunas have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Jaén 58%.

How many goals will there be in Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

Our predicted score is Mijas Las Lagunas 0–1 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.